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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 13, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

Buffalo Sabres 3, Colorado Avalanche 6

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 85% of the time.

COL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Goal by Necas (Makar, Toews)+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · BUF Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Samuelsson, Power

  3. P1 2:00Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 6:08Shot by Malinski, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 6:10Goal by Lehkonen (Malinski, Necas)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Malinski · BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, Krebs, Byram, Dunne

  6. P1 7:44Shot by Tuch, saved by Blackwood
  7. P1 7:47Goal by Byram (Thompson, Tuch)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Olofsson, Girard, Drury, Malinski · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Timmins, McLeod, Byram

  8. P1 8:37Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 9:46Goal by Nelson (Colton, Brindley)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Girard, Colton, Brindley, Malinski · BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Doan, Power, Kozak

  10. P1 12:37Shot by McLeod, saved by Blackwood
  11. P1 13:28Goal by Greenway (Power, Doan)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Girard, Colton, Brindley, Malinski · BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Doan, Power, Kozak

  12. P1 14:35Shot by Kozak, saved by Blackwood
  13. P1 19:04Shot by Olofsson, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 19:07Colton: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Toews, Olofsson, Makar, Drury · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, McLeod, Kesselring

  15. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 0:59Shot by Rosen, saved by Blackwood4v5
  18. P2 2:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  19. P2 3:16Shot by Burns, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P2 4:19Shot by Manson, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P2 4:39Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P2 5:02Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P2 6:30Landeskog: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Landeskog, Olofsson, Girard, Drury · BUF Timmins, Byram, Quinn, Rosen, Ostlund

  24. P2 7:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Blackwood4v5
  25. P2 8:45Power: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Colton, Necas, Makar · BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Doan, Power, Kozak

  26. P2 9:05Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  27. P2 9:45Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  28. P2 9:56Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  29. P2 10:13Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  30. P2 10:51Shot by Colton, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 11:36Shot by Rosen, saved by Blackwood
  32. P2 13:23Shot by Doan, saved by Blackwood
  33. P2 13:50MacKinnon: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Toews, Olofsson, Makar, Drury · BUF Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn

  34. P2 13:54Shot by Ostlund, saved by Blackwood4v5
  35. P2 14:35Shot by Byram, saved by Blackwood4v5
  36. P2 14:56Goal by Thompson (Rosen, Krebs)4v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Toews, Makar, Drury · BUF Thompson, Krebs, Quinn, Power, Rosen

  37. P2 16:22Goal by Brindley (Manson, Burns)+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Colton, Brindley · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Bryson, McLeod, Power

  38. P2 19:22Shot by Thompson, saved by Blackwood
  39. P2 19:58Shot by Nelson, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 2:25Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P3 2:53Shot by Brindley, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P3 2:58Shot by Nelson, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P3 3:01Kozak: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Colton, Brindley · BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Doan, Power, Kozak

  46. P3 3:24Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  47. P3 3:57Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  48. P3 4:55Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  49. P3 5:00Shot by Toews, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  50. P3 6:22Shot by Ostlund, saved by Blackwood
  51. P3 8:28Shot by Landeskog, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 9:02Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 9:27Shot by Byram, saved by Blackwood
  54. P3 9:43Shot by Tuch, saved by Blackwood
  55. P3 9:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Blackwood
  56. P3 11:48Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Blackwood
  57. P3 12:07Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 12:29Shot by Byram, saved by Blackwood
  59. P3 13:06Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Luukkonen
  60. P3 13:25Shot by Girard, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 14:14Kelly: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Bardakov, Makar · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Timmins, McLeod, Samuelsson

  62. P3 14:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Blackwood4v5
  63. P3 16:53Goal by Necas (MacKinnon, Girard)+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Malinski · BUF Timmins, Samuelsson, Rosen, Kozak, Ostlund

  64. P3 17:19Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen
  65. P3 18:11Goal by Landeskog (Necas)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Toews, Necas, Makar · BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Krebs, Doan, Rosen, Ostlund

  66. P3 19:00Shot by Bardakov, saved by Luukkonen
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final