Thu, Nov 13, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver
Buffalo Sabres 3, Colorado Avalanche 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 85% of the time.
80%
10%
COL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:21 | 0.26 | 32.7% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:13 | 0.10 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:09 | 0.00 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:12 | 0.09 | 45.7% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 18:37 | 0.57 | 48.5% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.12 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.41 | 36.3% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.23 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.10 | 23.4% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.22 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.14 | 44.2% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.06 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.05 | 31.0% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.04 | 21.0% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.13 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 3.03 | 0.0 | 52:55 | |
| – | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 0.44 | −1.6 | 6:10 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:32 | 0.17 | 71.8% | +11.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 22:28 | 0.54 | 63.3% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:07 | 0.08 | 80.9% | +11.3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 2 | 21:37 | 0.43 | 65.1% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8 | 21:04 | 0.62 | 67.5% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.05 | 53.8% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.13 | 55.7% | +28.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.29 | 65.0% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.14 | 60.0% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.06 | 56.3% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.09 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.11 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:02 | 0.05 | 66.5% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.15 | 59.7% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:32 | 1.76 | 65.7% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:52 | 0.08 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 0.23 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.53 | −0.5 | 60:00 |