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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 15, 2025·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Vegas Golden Knights 4, St. Louis Blues 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 80% of the time.

STL winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hertl–Marner–DorofeyevBarbashev–Eichel–BowmanSmith–Saad–HowdenSissons–Kolesar–ReinhardtMcNabb–TheodoreHanifin–WhitecloudLauzon–KorczakHanifin–KorczakMcNabb–KorczakTheodore–WhitecloudTheodore–Korczak
Schenn–Kyrou–Holloway4:360.10–0.271:070.00–0.002:000.00–0.121:510.00–0.003:540.04–0.134:470.06–0.081:060.00–0.120:510.00–0.00
Sundqvist–Buchnevich–Suter1:550.09–0.142:500.10–0.002:000.15–0.300:560.07–0.000:520.01–0.001:260.00–0.140:340.02–0.00
Sundqvist–Walker–Toropchenko0:580.01–0.001:050.00–0.172:340.09–0.140:330.00–0.001:350.09–0.111:340.00–0.031:460.01–0.19
Buchnevich–Thomas–Snuggerud3:520.14–0.450:500.00–0.013:000.08–0.231:070.00–0.430:330.00–0.01
Thomas–Toropchenko–Snuggerud3:190.36–0.011:020.00–0.040:450.00–0.011:570.29–0.041:380.04–0.000:340.03–0.00
Bjugstad–Walker–Dvorsky0:350.00–0.003:060.17–0.001:200.09–0.002:170.00–0.01
Bjugstad–Suter–Dvorsky2:290.03–0.010:470.04–0.001:180.02–0.000:410.00–0.002:130.06–0.001:230.03–0.00
Sundqvist–Buchnevich–Snuggerud0:560.00–0.06
Faulk–Fowler7:370.22–0.482:130.29–0.173:050.00–0.061:430.12–0.005:440.18–0.074:140.36–0.343:300.03–0.191:330.12–0.140:500.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Parayko–Broberg2:090.00–0.147:150.21–0.462:540.05–0.015:090.17–0.361:550.08–0.160:410.06–0.062:560.04–0.011:390.06–0.000:530.00–0.00
Tucker–Kessel1:430.01–0.065:280.08–0.072:340.00–0.001:210.00–0.046:130.05–0.041:460.02–0.000:500.00–0.000:430.02–0.000:370.00–0.01
Faulk–Parayko0:570.00–0.06
Fowler–Broberg0:430.00–0.300:370.00–0.30
Broberg–Kessel
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndToropchenko FWalker FSundqvist FSuter FDvorsky FBjugstad FSnuggerud FBuchnevich FThomas FKyrou FSchenn FHolloway FKessel DTucker DFowler DFaulk DParayko DBroberg DHofer GSmith FSaad FHowden FDorofeyev FHertl FMarner FBarbashev FEichel FBowman FReinhardt FKolesar FSissons FWhitecloud DHanifin DMcNabb DTheodore DLauzon DKorczak DSchmid G
STLVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkSTL2824:160:521:5836
Cam FowlerSTL2823:420:511:4137
Noah HanifinVGK3123:370:461:1248
Shea TheodoreVGK2921:420:451:1862
Brayden McNabbVGK3021:060:421:2772
Philip BrobergSTL2820:340:441:2725
Zach WhitecloudVGK2819:580:431:1138
Colton ParaykoSTL2819:470:421:1926
Jack EichelVGK2219:390:541:4990
Mitch MarnerVGK2119:230:551:4152
Kaedan KorczakVGK2719:010:421:1541
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2218:410:511:3533
Pavel DorofeyevVGK2017:450:531:2462
Tomas HertlVGK2017:320:531:2772
Pius SuterSTL2216:280:451:2622
Braeden BowmanVGK2016:080:481:1790
Robert ThomasSTL2215:580:441:0625
Dylan HollowaySTL1915:440:501:2952
Oskar SundqvistSTL1815:300:521:5314
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL2015:170:461:1924
Ivan BarbashevVGK1714:540:531:2570
Matthew KesselSTL2314:210:371:0741
Brayden SchennSTL2014:200:431:2752
Brett HowdenVGK2014:190:431:1222
Jordan KyrouSTL2014:170:431:2252
Reilly SmithVGK2114:080:401:1222
Tyler TuckerSTL2013:570:421:2041
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL2213:390:370:5304
Nick BjugstadSTL1913:270:421:1914
Keegan KolesarVGK2012:580:391:0904
Dalibor DvorskySTL1812:560:431:0923
Nathan WalkerSTL2012:330:381:0113
Brandon SaadVGK1912:220:391:1413
Colton SissonsVGK2111:550:340:5105
Cole ReinhardtVGK1811:310:381:0803
Jeremy LauzonVGK118:020:441:2410