Sat, Nov 22, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Montréal Canadiens 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 87% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 2:29Shot by Lorentz, saved by Dobes
- P1 4:02Shot by McCabe, saved by Dobes
- P1 4:29Shot by Joshua, saved by Dobes
- P1 5:36Shot by Benoit, saved by Dobes
- P1 6:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Dobes
- P1 6:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Dobes
- P1 6:59Shot by Veleno, saved by Woll
- P1 7:53Shot by Gallagher, saved by Woll
- P1 8:09Shot by Gallagher, saved by Woll
- P1 8:32Shot by McCabe, saved by Dobes
- P1 9:37Shot by Lorentz, saved by Dobes
- P1 9:39Struble: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: MTL Anderson, Evans, Struble, Hutson, Xhekaj · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Lorentz, Stecher, McMann, Cowan
- P1 9:39Struble: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: MTL Anderson, Evans, Struble, Hutson, Xhekaj · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Lorentz, Stecher, McMann, Cowan
- P1 9:39Ekman-Larsson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: MTL Anderson, Evans, Struble, Hutson, Xhekaj · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Lorentz, Stecher, McMann, Cowan
- P1 10:31Shot by Rielly, saved by Dobes4v5
- P1 10:41Shot by Carrier, saved by Woll4v5
- P1 12:11Goal by Hutson (Suzuki, Caufield)+16 pts WP
On ice: MTL Gallagher, Suzuki, Caufield, Xhekaj, Hutson · TOR Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz, Stecher, McMann
- P1 13:01Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Dobes
- P1 13:33Goal by Dobson (Matheson, Demidov)+13 pts WP
On ice: MTL Matheson, Dobson, Kapanen, Slafkovský, Demidov · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander
- P1 14:30Nylander: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: MTL Gallagher, Carrier, Suzuki, Xhekaj, Davidson · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Mermis, Nylander, Stecher
- P1 16:16Shot by Kapanen, saved by Woll5v4
- P1 16:42Shot by Matheson, saved by Woll
- P1 19:11Shot by McMann, saved by Dobes
- P1 19:58Shot by Demidov, saved by Woll
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:17Shot by Caufield, saved by Woll
- P2 0:29Shot by Suzuki, saved by Woll
- P2 1:19Shot by Hutson, saved by Woll
- P2 2:41Shot by Dobson, saved by Woll
- P2 3:12Shot by Stecher, saved by Dobes
- P2 4:09Goal by Dobson (Demidov, Slafkovský)+8 pts WP
On ice: MTL Matheson, Dobson, Kapanen, Slafkovský, Demidov · TOR Domi, Mermis, Joshua, Stecher, Robertson
- P2 5:27Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Woll
- P2 6:46Tavares: Hooking (2 min)6v5
On ice: MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Bolduc, Demidov · TOR Tavares, Mermis, Nylander, Stecher, Cowan
- P2 7:04Shot by Bolduc, saved by Woll5v4
- P2 7:34Shot by Bolduc, saved by Woll5v4
- P2 7:40Shot by Caufield, saved by Woll5v4
- P2 8:02Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Woll5v4
- P2 9:46Shot by Caufield, saved by Woll6v5
- P2 9:52McCabe: Hooking (2 min)6v5
On ice: MTL Suzuki, Caufield, Bolduc, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov · TOR Tavares, Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz, Benoit
- P2 11:24Shot by Kapanen, saved by Woll5v4
- P2 11:25Shot by Gallagher, saved by Woll5v4
- P2 11:26Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Woll5v4
- P2 13:04Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Woll
- P2 13:11Goal by Anderson (Xhekaj)+3 pts WP
On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Carrier, Xhekaj · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Cowan
- P2 14:11Shot by Benoit, saved by Dobes
- P2 15:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Dobes
- P2 16:43Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hildeby
- P2 17:19Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Cowan, Nylander)+2 pts WP
On ice: MTL Matheson, Evans, Dobson, Slafkovský, Demidov · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Stecher, Cowan
- P2 18:13Xhekaj: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: MTL Anderson, Evans, Suzuki, Struble, Hutson, Xhekaj · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Mermis, Nylander, Cowan
- P2 19:22Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Dobes4v5
- P2 19:36Shot by Domi, saved by Dobes4v5
- P2 0:00Period end4v5
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:51Shot by Lorentz, saved by Dobes
- P3 4:47Shot by Rielly, saved by Dobes
- P3 5:38Shot by McMann, saved by Dobes
- P3 5:40Shot by Lorentz, saved by Dobes
- P3 8:45Shot by Laughton, saved by Dobes
- P3 8:51Shot by Mermis, saved by Dobes
- P3 11:07Shot by Hutson, saved by Hildeby
- P3 11:22Gallagher: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: MTL Gallagher, Veleno, Struble, Hutson, Davidson · TOR Rielly, Laughton, Mermis, Lorentz, McMann
- P3 11:22Mermis: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: MTL Gallagher, Veleno, Struble, Hutson, Davidson · TOR Rielly, Laughton, Mermis, Lorentz, McMann
- P3 12:33Shot by Caufield, saved by Hildeby4v4
- P3 13:53Shot by Cowan, saved by Dobes
- P3 14:26Xhekaj: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Dobson, Xhekaj · TOR Laughton, Mermis, Benoit, McMann, Cowan
- P3 14:26Mermis: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Dobson, Xhekaj · TOR Laughton, Mermis, Benoit, McMann, Cowan
- P3 14:26Xhekaj: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Dobson, Xhekaj · TOR Laughton, Mermis, Benoit, McMann, Cowan
- P3 14:55Goal by Nylander (Rielly, Maccelli)4v6+1 pts WP
On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Carrier · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Domi, Nylander, Maccelli, Cowan
- P3 16:01Shot by Rielly, saved by Dobes5v6
- P3 17:50Goal by Anderson (Matheson, Evans)5v6+1 pts WP
On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Carrier, Veleno · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, Joshua, Blais, Robertson, McMann
- P3 0:00Struble: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: MTL Gallagher, Anderson, Struble, Kapanen, Xhekaj · TOR Joshua, Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit, McMann
- P3 0:00Xhekaj: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: MTL Gallagher, Anderson, Struble, Kapanen, Xhekaj · TOR Joshua, Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit, McMann
- P3 0:00Joshua: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: MTL Gallagher, Anderson, Struble, Kapanen, Xhekaj · TOR Joshua, Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit, McMann
- P3 0:00Lorentz: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: MTL Gallagher, Anderson, Struble, Kapanen, Xhekaj · TOR Joshua, Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit, McMann
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final