Sat, Nov 22, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Montréal Canadiens 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 87% of the time.
82%
MTL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MTL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tavares–Nylander–Cowan | Domi–Joshua–Robertson | Domi–Blais–Maccelli | Tavares–Jarnkrok–Nylander | Laughton–McMann–Cowan | Laughton–Lorentz–McMann | Blais–Lorentz–Maccelli | Jarnkrok–Joshua–Robertson | Laughton–Joshua–McMann | Laughton–Joshua–Lorentz | Jarnkrok–Blais–Lorentz | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Mermis–Stecher | McCabe–Benoit | Stecher–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | Rielly–Mermis | Mermis–Benoit | Rielly–Stecher | Rielly–Benoit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suzuki–Caufield–Bolduc | 1:240.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:320.10–0.00 | 3:480.22–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.13 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.04 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 3:190.22–0.02 | 1:070.10–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.14 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Anderson–Evans–Xhekaj | 2:370.09–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.06 | 3:250.06–0.06 | 2:260.03–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.13 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Gallagher–Veleno–Davidson | 1:090.00–0.16 | 1:440.21–0.04 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 1:090.02–0.01 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 0:480.03–0.00 | 1:140.08–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.11 | 1:430.12–0.06 | 0:420.00–0.06 | 0:300.02–0.00 | 0:320.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Kapanen–Slafkovský–Demidov | 0:560.15–0.00 | 0:500.09–0.04 | 0:420.04–0.02 | 1:550.08–0.04 | 1:270.00–0.16 | 3:010.12–0.02 | 0:430.09–0.04 | 0:390.00–0.04 | 0:580.06–0.04 | ||||||||||||
| Gallagher–Anderson–Evans | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Bolduc–Kapanen–Demidov | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Matheson–Dobson | 5:160.11–0.09 | 0:540.00–0.01 | 4:160.26–0.07 | 0:310.06–0.04 | 3:300.08–0.06 | 1:520.14–0.00 | 2:530.22–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 1:030.12–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Struble–Hutson | 1:000.00–0.05 | 1:170.12–0.04 | 1:150.10–0.00 | 3:000.10–0.01 | 1:150.02–0.04 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 0:440.03–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.06 | 3:340.10–0.06 | 1:150.00–0.01 | 2:010.12–0.06 | 1:030.10–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.19 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Carrier–Xhekaj | 0:500.00–0.03 | 3:010.21–0.04 | 2:290.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.24 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:170.06–0.00 | 2:470.12–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.03 | 1:030.00–0.14 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Struble–Xhekaj | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Carrier–Hutson | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Matheson–Carrier | 0:450.06–0.00 | 0:440.06–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MTLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mike MathesonMTL | 24 | 23:26 | 0:59 | 2:24 | 1 | 5 |
 John TavaresTOR | 26 | 22:40 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 6 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 30 | 22:25 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 6 | 2 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 28 | 22:20 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 0 | 4 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 29 | 21:21 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 31 | 21:04 | 0:41 | 2:24 | 2 | 8 |
 Noah DobsonMTL | 24 | 20:44 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick SuzukiMTL | 19 | 20:27 | 1:05 | 3:09 | 3 | 2 |
 Lane HutsonMTL | 21 | 20:24 | 0:58 | 2:32 | 5 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 25 | 19:53 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 7 | 1 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 22 | 19:34 | 0:53 | 1:44 | 4 | 1 |
 Jake EvansMTL | 20 | 18:21 | 0:55 | 2:04 | 1 | 3 |
 Cole CaufieldMTL | 18 | 18:13 | 1:01 | 5:05 | 4 | 3 |
 Josh AndersonMTL | 19 | 18:01 | 0:57 | 2:16 | 2 | 3 |
 Alexandre CarrierMTL | 18 | 17:28 | 0:58 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Zachary BolducMTL | 16 | 16:51 | 1:03 | 2:32 | 4 | 2 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 24 | 16:29 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 1 | 5 |
 Jayden StrubleMTL | 17 | 15:48 | 0:56 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 17 | 15:23 | 0:54 | 1:31 | 3 | 2 |
 Arber XhekajMTL | 17 | 15:10 | 0:54 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 19 | 15:08 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 3 | 2 |
 Max DomiTOR | 18 | 15:08 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 4 | 2 |
 Ivan DemidovMTL | 15 | 14:39 | 0:59 | 2:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Dakota MermisTOR | 23 | 14:29 | 0:38 | 1:54 | 1 | 2 |
 Oliver KapanenMTL | 20 | 14:14 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Dakota JoshuaTOR | 19 | 14:11 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 1 | 4 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 19 | 13:26 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 18 | 13:03 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 0 | 4 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 17 | 12:41 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 5 | 1 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 15 | 12:37 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 1 | 7 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 17 | 12:34 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Joseph VelenoMTL | 14 | 11:24 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 13 | 10:38 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 0 | 1 |
 Jared DavidsonMTL | 12 | 9:52 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Florian XhekajMTL | 14 | 9:48 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 2 | 2 |
 Sammy BlaisTOR | 12 | 9:39 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 3 | 1 |