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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 23, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:55Shot by Quinn, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 4:22Nikishin: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Doan · CAR Martinook, Carrier, Robinson, Nikishin, Nystrom

  4. P1 4:34Shot by Quinn, saved by Andersen5v4
  5. P1 5:51Goal by Tuch (McLeod, Doan)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Byram, Doan, Power · CAR Martinook, Chatfield, Robinson, Miller

  6. P1 7:55Zucker: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Power, Kozak, Ostlund, Benson · CAR Hall, Jankowski, Jarvis, Nikishin, Nystrom

  7. P1 9:07Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  8. P1 12:13Shot by Power, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 12:16Aho: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, McLeod, Byram, Power, Kozak · CAR Ehlers, Aho, Chatfield, Miller, Jarvis

  10. P1 12:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Andersen5v4
  11. P1 12:55Dahlin: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Benson · CAR Jankowski, Martinook, Chatfield, Miller

  12. P1 14:32Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  13. P1 14:36Goal by Gostisbehere, unassisted4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, Samuelsson, Benson · CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  14. P1 15:59Shot by Miller, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 16:09Shot by Timmins, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 16:27Aho: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Timmins, Byram, Quinn, Ostlund · CAR Martinook, Carrier, Aho, Miller, Nikishin

  17. P1 16:59Shot by Benson, saved by Andersen5v4
  18. P1 17:33Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  19. P1 18:08Tuch: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Byram, Doan, Power · CAR Walker, Robinson, Jarvis, Nystrom

  20. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:44Shot by Kozak, saved by Andersen
  23. P2 1:59Shot by Reilly, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P2 3:32Shot by Quinn, saved by Andersen
  25. P2 3:33Shot by McLeod, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 3:44Shot by Zucker, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 3:55Goal by Quinn (McLeod, Zucker)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Walker, Stankoven, Blake

  28. P2 5:07Shot by Aho, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P2 5:26Dunne: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Bryson, Krebs, Dunne, Power · CAR Hall, Reilly, Jankowski, Walker, Robinson

  30. P2 5:40Shot by Aho, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  31. P2 6:43Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  32. P2 6:46Shot by Blake, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  33. P2 6:48Shot by Hall, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  34. P2 8:23Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 8:49Shot by Ostlund, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 10:12Shot by Tuch, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 10:31Shot by Robinson, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 11:38Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 12:39Shot by Walker, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 15:46Shot by Byram, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 15:59Carrier: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Timmins, Byram, Kozak, Ostlund, Benson · CAR Martinook, Carrier, Chatfield, Miller, Blake

  42. P2 18:36Goal by Malenstyn (Kozak, Krebs)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Kozak · CAR Gostisbehere, Aho, Walker, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  43. P2 18:52Shot by Stankoven, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 18:58Shot by Blake, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 19:58Shot by Hall, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 2:47Shot by Dunne, saved by Andersen
  49. P3 3:07Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P3 5:49Shot by Robinson, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P3 6:29Shot by Carrier, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 8:41Shot by Stankoven, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 8:53Shot by Stankoven, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 8:54Shot by Walker, saved by Luukkonen
  55. P3 9:00Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Luukkonen
  56. P3 9:35Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 10:08Shot by Carrier, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 10:10Shot by Blake, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 10:54Shot by Quinn, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 13:55Shot by Quinn, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 14:25Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Luukkonen
  62. P3 14:45Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Luukkonen
  63. P3 19:22Shot by Stankoven, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  64. P3 19:38Goal by Thompson (Benson)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Timmins, McLeod, Samuelsson, Benson · CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Blake

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final