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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 23, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Aho–Svechnikov–JarvisEhlers–Stankoven–BlakeHall–Jankowski–RobinsonMartinook–Carrier–BlakeJankowski–Martinook–CarrierHall–Robinson–StankovenMartinook–Carrier–StankovenGostisbehere–WalkerChatfield–MillerNikishin–NystromReilly–NikishinMiller–NikishinWalker–Miller
Zucker–McLeod–Quinn3:450.26–0.082:180.39–0.120:580.03–0.000:440.00–0.384:190.46–0.062:350.20–0.520:540.01–0.000:500.03–0.00
Tuch–Thompson–Doan1:060.00–0.372:190.00–0.002:050.14–0.030:410.00–0.070:320.12–0.060:360.00–0.002:430.14–0.304:390.00–0.180:300.12–0.00
Kozak–Ostlund–Benson3:190.12–0.071:500.00–0.081:300.00–0.060:310.09–0.005:000.21–0.21
Malenstyn–Krebs–Dunne1:380.00–0.142:120.00–0.030:320.00–0.002:070.00–0.151:350.00–0.000:440.00–0.03
Zucker–Quinn–Ostlund
Malenstyn–Krebs–Kozak0:400.08–0.010:440.08–0.01
Zucker–Thompson–Quinn0:320.09–0.02
Samuelsson–Dahlin2:100.20–0.002:230.00–0.001:440.00–0.030:500.00–0.031:000.00–0.000:360.00–0.003:110.08–0.034:320.00–0.142:450.01–0.06
Timmins–Byram4:310.26–0.262:510.31–0.120:310.09–0.004:310.38–0.311:520.29–0.141:260.01–0.00
Bryson–Power0:300.00–0.201:260.00–0.142:250.14–0.031:490.14–0.111:330.00–0.161:410.00–0.03
Byram–Power1:000.00–0.270:350.00–0.000:360.04–0.001:070.00–0.00
Bryson–Dahlin0:430.04–0.000:380.06–0.000:400.06–0.000:330.03–0.00
Timmins–Samuelsson1:050.00–0.001:010.00–0.02
Samuelsson–Power1:170.00–0.060:300.00–0.00
Timmins–Power0:400.08–0.08
Timmins–Dahlin
Timmins–Bryson0:300.12–0.060:320.12–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndThompson FTuch FDoan FZucker FQuinn FMcLeod FOstlund FBenson FKozak FKrebs FMalenstyn FDunne FSamuelsson DDahlin DByram DTimmins DPower DBryson DLuukkonen GStankoven FCarrier FMartinook FJarvis FAho FSvechnikov FEhlers FBlake FRobinson FHall FJankowski FGostisbehere DWalker DChatfield DMiller DNikishin DNystrom DReilly DAndersen G
BUFCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mattias SamuelssonBUF2823:440:512:2128
K'Andre MillerCAR2823:180:502:2433
Seth JarvisCAR2423:090:582:3081
Conor TimminsBUF2622:040:511:5009
Rasmus DahlinBUF2521:340:521:3551
Sebastian AhoCAR2421:030:532:2391
Jack QuinnBUF2220:390:562:3836
Sean WalkerCAR3020:110:401:3354
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2320:100:531:3772
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2119:350:562:1381
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2519:130:461:4324
Bowen ByramBUF2518:480:451:1706
Tage ThompsonBUF2318:320:481:3073
Owen PowerBUF2418:310:461:2813
Logan StankovenCAR1917:320:551:3840
Jason ZuckerBUF2117:230:502:0835
Jackson BlakeCAR2217:140:471:2451
Zach BensonBUF2516:560:411:4541
Nikolaj EhlersCAR1816:330:551:3260
Ryan McLeodBUF2816:140:351:13012
Alex TuchBUF2515:260:371:0038
Mark JankowskiCAR2215:230:421:4014
Josh DoanBUF2214:550:411:0044
Joel NystromCAR2214:490:401:1102
Tyson KozakBUF2114:040:401:4721
Alexander NikishinCAR1813:590:471:1801
Eric RobinsonCAR1613:450:521:3211
Taylor HallCAR1613:130:501:2710
Noah OstlundBUF1712:490:451:2210
Jordan MartinookCAR1712:450:451:3113
Beck MalenstynBUF2011:540:361:1812
Jacob BrysonBUF1311:020:511:1711
Peyton KrebsBUF1510:240:421:5613
William CarrierCAR158:540:361:0702
Josh DunneBUF117:200:401:0801
Mike ReillyCAR74:210:370:5700