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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 26, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:11Shot by Letang, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 7:35Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 8:57Timmins: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumba, Graves, Heinen, Dewar · BUF Timmins, Byram, Kozak, Ostlund, Benson

  5. P1 10:01Shot by Byram, saved by Jarry5v4
  6. P1 10:51Shot by Hayes, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  7. P1 13:02Shot by Power, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 17:09Goal by Dumba, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Hayes, Rust, Dumba, Graves · BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, Byram, Dunne, Ostlund

  9. P1 17:41Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 0:00Period end
  11. P2 0:00Period start
  12. P2 1:39Shot by Mantha, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P2 1:42Shot by Broz, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P2 5:13Shot by Hayes, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P2 5:34Shot by McLeod, saved by Jarry
  16. P2 6:45Shot by Broz, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P2 8:18Shot by Malkin, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P2 10:13Shot by Koppanen, saved by Luukkonen
  19. P2 10:31Shot by Heinen, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P2 10:39Shot by Crosby, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P2 14:22Shot by Zucker, saved by Jarry
  22. P2 15:06Shot by Thompson, saved by Jarry
  23. P2 16:36Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Jarry
  24. P2 16:59Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry
  25. P2 17:20Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Jarry
  26. P2 17:41Shot by Ostlund, saved by Jarry
  27. P2 18:28Shot by Timmins, saved by Jarry
  28. P2 0:00Period end
  29. P3 0:00Period start
  30. P3 0:46Shot by Tuch, saved by Jarry
  31. P3 0:54Shot by Crosby, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P3 1:25Shot by Quinn, saved by Jarry
  33. P3 1:45Shot by Zucker, saved by Jarry
  34. P3 2:12Shot by Doan, saved by Jarry
  35. P3 3:37Shot by Dunne, saved by Jarry
  36. P3 4:11Shot by Crosby, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P3 6:17Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry
  38. P3 7:20Goal by Zucker (Quinn, McLeod)+35 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumba, Graves, Heinen, Koppanen, Broz · BUF Zucker, Timmins, McLeod, Byram, Quinn

  39. P3 7:51Goal by Rust (Shea)+36 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Shea, Dewar · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Timmins, Byram, Benson

  40. P3 7:59Shot by Dunne, saved by Jarry
  41. P3 8:44Shot by Letang, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P3 9:34Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Jarry
  43. P3 10:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P3 11:06Shot by Koppanen, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P3 12:34Goal by Hayes (Karlsson, Wotherspoon)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Hayes, Mantha, Wotherspoon · BUF Thompson, Bryson, Doan, Power, Kozak

  46. P3 13:06Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Jarry
  47. P3 13:16Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry
  48. P3 14:30Shot by Benson, saved by Jarry
  49. P3 14:53Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry
  50. P3 15:30Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Jarry
  51. P3 15:42Goal by Quinn (Zucker, Samuelsson)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Wotherspoon, Dewar · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  52. P3 15:55Shot by Byram, saved by Jarry
  53. P3 18:49Shot by Zucker, saved by Jarry5v6
  54. P3 18:53Shot by Thompson, saved by Jarry5v6
  55. P3 18:55Shot by Tuch, saved by Jarry5v6
  56. P3 19:02Goal by Dewar (Heinen, Shea)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Heinen, Shea, Dewar · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn

  57. P3 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Final