Wed, Nov 26, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
9%
56%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 27:47 | 0.32 | 76.7% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25:06 | 0.19 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.01 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.02 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.53 | 75.9% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.21 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:28 | 0.68 | 74.4% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.16 | 76.5% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.36 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.09 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.10 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.14 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.27 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.01 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.03 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:11 | 0.14 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.64 | −1.4 | 59:23 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:48 | 0.06 | 24.5% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:37 | 0.01 | 21.7% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.20 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.04 | 35.6% | +39.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.10 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:46 | 0.22 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.11 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.80 | 35.6% | +3.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.14 | 38.1% | +35.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.05 | 57.4% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:23 | 0.32 | 45.2% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.11 | 39.9% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:02 | 0.18 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:30 | 0.11 | 24.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.25 | +1.3 | 60:00 |