Wed, Nov 26, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
9%
56%
PIT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Malenstyn–Krebs–Dunne | Tuch–Thompson–Benson | Tuch–Thompson–Doan | Kozak–Ostlund–Benson | Doan–Kozak–Ostlund | Zucker–Thompson–Quinn | Doan–Kozak–Benson | Malenstyn–Kozak–Ostlund | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Timmins–Byram | Bryson–Power | Samuelsson–Power | Byram–Power | Samuelsson–Byram | Dahlin–Power | Bryson–Samuelsson | Dahlin–Byram | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crosby–Rust–Dewar | 3:240.04–0.52 | 1:370.15–0.13 | 2:110.14–0.16 | 3:090.04–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 5:150.04–0.50 | 4:380.29–0.35 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Malkin–Hayes–Mantha | 5:340.31–0.48 | 0:570.00–0.01 | 2:130.00–0.00 | 1:460.10–0.00 | 3:080.14–0.10 | 2:040.00–0.09 | 3:230.06–0.21 | 0:310.10–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.01 | 1:140.17–0.22 | ||||||||
| Heinen–Koppanen–Lizotte | 2:010.04–0.07 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.12 | 1:440.17–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.10 | 3:060.00–0.19 | 2:410.08–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.10 | 0:310.13–0.00 | |||||||||
| Novak–Broz–Koivunen | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:220.06–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.18 | 1:450.00–0.14 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:490.06–0.00 | 1:070.05–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Heinen–Koppanen–Broz | 1:000.00–0.01 | 1:000.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
| Mantha–Novak–Broz | 1:100.00–0.20 | 1:130.00–0.20 | ||||||||||||||||
| Malkin–Novak–Koivunen | ||||||||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Wotherspoon | 3:100.06–0.70 | 2:120.00–0.01 | 5:060.05–0.35 | 4:240.17–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 8:170.07–0.59 | 2:480.04–0.35 | 3:250.06–0.20 | 1:300.13–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.10 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||
| Letang–Shea | 6:400.08–0.43 | 3:380.15–0.33 | 0:440.09–0.00 | 1:070.04–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.01 | 5:400.03–0.47 | 6:330.33–0.06 | 1:510.00–0.10 | 0:490.05–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.12 | |||||||
| Dumba–Graves | 3:200.08–0.19 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 3:270.30–0.00 | 3:060.00–0.29 | 0:520.03–0.00 | 4:150.08–0.16 | 2:440.21–0.11 | 3:280.06–0.18 | 2:010.13–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 27:47 | 1:07 | 3:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 25:06 | 1:00 | 2:08 | 3 | 2 |
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 23 | 23:48 | 1:02 | 1:33 | 2 | 1 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 22 | 22:37 | 1:02 | 1:45 | 1 | 1 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 22 | 20:50 | 0:57 | 1:44 | 1 | 1 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 23 | 20:13 | 0:53 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 20 | 19:25 | 0:58 | 2:15 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 21 | 19:10 | 0:55 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 20 | 18:46 | 0:56 | 1:32 | 1 | 0 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 20 | 18:46 | 0:56 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 22 | 18:39 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 4 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 18:33 | 0:53 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 21 | 18:28 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 4 | 2 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 22 | 18:01 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 17:40 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 1 | 2 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 17 | 17:37 | 1:02 | 2:53 | 1 | 0 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 20 | 17:13 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 2 | 1 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 20 | 16:26 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 4 | 1 |
 Mathew DumbaPIT | 18 | 16:16 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 1 | 1 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 21 | 16:09 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 1 | 2 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 16:02 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan GravesPIT | 18 | 15:25 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 1 | 1 |
 Kevin HayesPIT | 18 | 15:23 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 0 | 0 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 20 | 15:22 | 0:46 | 1:52 | 3 | 2 |
 Danton HeinenPIT | 18 | 14:59 | 0:50 | 1:47 | 1 | 3 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 18 | 14:06 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 1 | 0 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 15 | 13:53 | 0:56 | 2:02 | 2 | 0 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 16 | 13:27 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 2 | 0 |
 Joona KoppanenPIT | 16 | 13:02 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 0 | 4 |
 Blake LizottePIT | 17 | 12:46 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 4 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 16 | 12:34 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 0 | 1 |
 Ville KoivunenPIT | 13 | 11:33 | 0:53 | 2:07 | 2 | 0 |
 Tristan BrozPIT | 15 | 11:30 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 2 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 13 | 9:44 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 11 | 9:10 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 0 | 1 |
 Josh DunneBUF | 10 | 8:11 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 0 | 1 |