Fri, Nov 28, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Philadelphia Flyers 4, New York Islanders 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 72% of the time.
65%
21%
NYI winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:34 | 0.03 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:46 | 0.04 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.39 | 42.1% | +9.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.25 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.33 | 32.2% | +9.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.15 | 36.2% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.10 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.09 | 64.1% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.01 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.00 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.59 | 64.1% | +9.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.07 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.00 | 4.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.35 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.01 | 4.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:45 | 0.00 | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.83 | +0.8 | 65:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 28:53 | 0.19 | 79.9% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 24:41 | 0.65 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:28 | 0.09 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:17 | 0.32 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 0.37 | 80.6% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.00 | 69.7% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:24 | 0.55 | 70.6% | +8.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.24 | 54.4% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:40 | 0.54 | 54.1% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.02 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.02 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.24 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:05 | 0.25 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.15 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.03 | 71.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.01 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.11 | 100.0% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.05 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.41 | −0.6 | 65:00 |