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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 28, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Utah Mammoth 3, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 69% of the time.

DAL winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Goal by Cooley (Guenther, Yamamoto)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Petrovic, Bäck, Bourque, Bichsel, Hryckowian · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Yamamoto, Guenther, Cooley

  3. P1 1:26Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Vanecek
  4. P1 1:33Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vanecek
  5. P1 4:35Shot by Durzi, saved by Oettinger
  6. P1 5:25Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek
  7. P1 5:46Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek
  8. P1 5:50Yamamoto: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston, Bichsel · UTA Sergachev, Yamamoto, Durzi, Guenther, Cooley

  9. P1 6:32Hintz: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston · UTA Cole, Crouse, Stenlund, Sergachev

  10. P1 7:43Shot by Crouse, saved by Oettinger4v4
  11. P1 8:10Shot by Sergachev, saved by Oettinger4v5
  12. P1 8:37Shot by Guenther, saved by Oettinger
  13. P1 9:12Shot by Capobianco, saved by Vanecek
  14. P1 10:51Shot by Guenther, saved by Oettinger
  15. P1 12:17Goal by Rooney (Marino, Carcone)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Steel, Heiskanen, Johnston · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Rooney, Tanev, Carcone

  16. P1 13:56Shot by Guenther, saved by Oettinger
  17. P1 14:07Shot by Lindell, saved by Vanecek
  18. P1 16:57Shot by Lindell, saved by Vanecek
  19. P1 16:59Shot by Bourque, saved by Vanecek
  20. P1 17:19Durzi: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Petrovic, Rantanen, Johnston, Bichsel · UTA Sergachev, Yamamoto, Durzi, Guenther, Cooley

  21. P1 17:38Goal by Hintz (Rantanen, Heiskanen)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston · UTA Cole, Crouse, Stenlund, Sergachev

  22. P1 17:56Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vanecek5v4
  23. P1 19:25Shot by Hintz, saved by Vanecek5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:55Shot by Guenther, saved by Oettinger
  27. P2 1:47Shot by Crouse, saved by Oettinger
  28. P2 3:01Shot by Schmidt, saved by Oettinger
  29. P2 3:44Shot by Schmidt, saved by Oettinger
  30. P2 3:56Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Oettinger
  31. P2 7:11Shot by Tanev, saved by Oettinger
  32. P2 8:16Goal by Benn (Petrovic)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Petrovic, Blackwell, Faksa, Bichsel · UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Stenlund, Keller, Simashev

  33. P2 9:16Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek
  34. P2 9:18Goal by Robertson (Capobianco, Hryckowian)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Seguin, Hintz, Capobianco, Robertson, Kolyachonok · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Durzi, McBain, Guenther

  35. P2 9:28Shot by Marino, saved by Oettinger
  36. P2 9:30Shot by Peterka, saved by Oettinger
  37. P2 10:16Shot by Johnston, saved by Vanecek
  38. P2 10:48Steel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Capobianco, Steel, Kolyachonok, Johnston · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Rooney, Tanev, Carcone

  39. P2 12:09Shot by Sergachev, saved by Oettinger4v5
  40. P2 12:57Shot by Peterka, saved by Oettinger
  41. P2 13:25Shot by Keller, saved by Oettinger
  42. P2 15:47Shot by Petrovic, saved by Vanecek
  43. P2 16:14Goal by McBain (Crouse, Marino)+28 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Petrovic, Rantanen, Johnston, Bichsel · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Marino, Carcone, McBain

  44. P2 16:38Shot by Hintz, saved by Vanecek
  45. P2 16:55Shot by Keller, saved by Oettinger
  46. P2 17:32Shot by Bourque, saved by Vanecek
  47. P2 18:05Stenlund: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Petrovic, Blackwell, Faksa, Rantanen, Steel · UTA Cole, Stenlund, Yamamoto, Guenther, Simashev

  48. P2 18:05Cole: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Petrovic, Blackwell, Faksa, Rantanen, Steel · UTA Cole, Stenlund, Yamamoto, Guenther, Simashev

  49. P2 18:14Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vanecek5v3
  50. P2 18:21Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Vanecek5v3
  51. P2 18:33Goal by Johnston (Rantanen, Heiskanen)5v3+28 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Sergachev

  52. P2 19:50Shot by Hintz, saved by Vanecek5v4
  53. P2 19:51Shot by Hintz, saved by Vanecek5v4
  54. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:49Shot by Crouse, saved by Oettinger
  57. P3 0:55Shot by Guenther, saved by Oettinger
  58. P3 6:09Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Vanecek
  59. P3 6:11Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Vanecek
  60. P3 6:12Shot by Bourque, saved by Vanecek
  61. P3 10:11Shot by Stenlund, saved by Oettinger
  62. P3 11:13Shot by Keller, saved by Oettinger
  63. P3 11:20Shot by Keller, saved by Oettinger
  64. P3 11:56Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek
  65. P3 12:09Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Vanecek
  66. P3 14:05Shot by Keller, saved by Oettinger
  67. P3 14:51Shot by Durzi, saved by Oettinger
  68. P3 16:49Shot by McBain, saved by Oettinger
  69. P3 19:40Shot by Guenther, saved by Oettinger5v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final5v6