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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 28, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Utah Mammoth 3, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 69% of the time.

DAL winsUTA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against UTA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Yamamoto–Guenther–CooleySchmaltz–Keller–PeterkaCrouse–McBain–PeterkaSchmaltz–Stenlund–KellerRooney–Tanev–CarconeCrouse–Carcone–McBainStenlund–Rooney–TanevSchmidt–MarinoSergachev–DurziCole–SimashevCole–SergachevDurzi–SimashevMarino–Durzi
Seguin–Hintz–Robertson2:000.03–0.121:290.17–0.100:410.00–0.111:430.00–0.001:210.00–0.101:310.00–0.082:480.11–0.114:260.09–0.260:550.00–0.001:400.00–0.12
Benn–Rantanen–Johnston3:020.08–0.110:480.00–0.121:290.24–0.001:280.00–0.060:500.00–0.140:310.00–0.016:000.01–0.421:330.07–0.000:530.24–0.00
Bäck–Bourque–Hryckowian2:170.00–0.171:500.67–0.001:460.00–0.001:000.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:390.65–0.171:550.00–0.002:510.00–0.001:210.00–0.00
Blackwell–Faksa–Steel0:310.00–0.001:410.09–0.430:350.00–0.011:490.07–0.000:450.01–0.001:340.00–0.132:080.08–0.011:100.00–0.001:060.09–0.30
Steel–Bourque–Hryckowian0:500.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Rantanen–Steel–Johnston0:480.00–0.060:520.00–0.060:310.00–0.00
Seguin–Robertson–Johnston0:310.00–0.140:550.00–0.14
Seguin–Hintz–Bäck0:370.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Benn–Blackwell–Faksa0:370.17–0.00
Lindell–Heiskanen4:180.04–0.253:580.82–0.392:430.24–0.001:390.00–0.001:170.00–0.108:370.91–0.503:530.09–0.182:390.24–0.000:430.00–0.12
Petrovic–Bichsel3:010.09–0.293:110.12–0.441:450.00–0.002:020.17–0.061:340.00–0.140:520.00–0.083:550.02–0.564:480.07–0.142:170.17–0.001:440.00–0.120:460.09–0.30
Capobianco–Kolyachonok0:360.00–0.120:300.00–0.110:370.00–0.004:070.08–0.062:080.11–0.001:100.00–0.172:270.08–0.002:430.10–0.001:080.00–0.121:320.00–0.00
Kolyachonok–Bichsel0:500.00–0.00
Lindell–Bichsel0:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRobertson FHintz FSeguin FHryckowian FBäck FBourque FBenn FJohnston FRantanen FFaksa FBlackwell FSteel FHeiskanen DLindell DBichsel DPetrovic DCapobianco DKolyachonok DOettinger GSchmaltz FKeller FStenlund FCooley FYamamoto FGuenther FMcBain FCrouse FPeterka FTanev FRooney FCarcone FDurzi DSergachev DMarino DSchmidt DCole DSimashev DVanecek G
DALUTAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL2727:051:002:2424
Esa LindellDAL2625:350:592:2404
Mikhail SergachevUTA2825:100:541:4924
Sean DurziUTA2922:290:471:4912
Nick SchmaltzUTA2421:060:531:4460
John MarinoUTA2620:500:481:2041
Lian BichselDAL2420:150:511:3202
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2120:120:581:5831
Jason RobertsonDAL2119:370:561:5533
Nate SchmidtUTA2619:370:451:0942
Roope HintzDAL2319:220:511:5543
Mikko RantanenDAL2219:140:521:5813
Alexander PetrovicDAL2318:440:491:5312
Tyler SeguinDAL2018:150:551:4513
Clayton KellerUTA2218:070:491:4160
Ian ColeUTA2117:370:502:0523
JJ PeterkaUTA2017:230:521:3130
Dylan GuentherUTA2016:350:501:4431
Lawson CrouseUTA2216:170:441:1414
Logan CooleyUTA1915:240:491:4521
Jack McBainUTA1814:590:501:4621
Oskar BäckDAL1713:250:471:3303
Kevin StenlundUTA2013:180:401:0744
Jamie BennDAL1712:430:451:0422
Justin HryckowianDAL1612:430:481:2102
Kyle CapobiancoDAL1612:400:481:1443
Kailer YamamotoUTA1812:330:421:5220
Dmitri SimashevUTA1512:310:501:5121
Sam SteelDAL1812:220:411:1932
Vladislav KolyachonokDAL1511:570:481:2133
Michael CarconeUTA1611:330:431:1633
Mavrik BourqueDAL1511:200:451:1102
Colin BlackwellDAL1510:570:441:2311
Kevin RooneyUTA149:440:421:0033
Brandon TanevUTA149:350:410:5734
Radek FaksaDAL169:340:360:5422