Sat, Nov 29, 2025·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Buffalo Sabres 3, Minnesota Wild 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
9%
51%
MIN winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MIN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Thompson–Kozak–Benson | Malenstyn–Krebs–Dunne | Tuch–Doan–Ostlund | Thompson–Doan–Ostlund | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Timmins–Byram | Bryson–Power | Dahlin–Byram | Timmins–Power | Byram–Power | Samuelsson–Power | Timmins–Dahlin | Dahlin–Power | Timmins–Samuelsson | Timmins–Bryson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johansson–Eriksson Ek–Boldy | 1:130.10–0.00 | 5:070.14–0.07 | 2:040.00–0.03 | 0:550.11–0.18 | 4:050.21–0.06 | 1:400.00–0.18 | 1:550.14–0.00 | 1:240.10–0.03 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:370.16–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.13 | |||||
| Zuccarello–Kaprizov–Yurov | 3:200.11–0.01 | 2:050.03–0.04 | 2:040.01–0.17 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 4:490.15–0.06 | 3:170.16–0.16 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Tarasenko–Hartman–Ohgren | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:410.10–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.06 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:500.10–0.00 | |||||||||
| Tarasenko–Hartman–Trenin | 0:490.05–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:190.04–0.09 | ||||||||||||
| Pitlick–Trenin–Sturm | 0:510.00–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 1:060.09–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.09 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Trenin–Sturm–Ohgren | 0:570.03–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.13 | 0:570.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Pitlick–Sturm–Ohgren | 1:030.00–0.08 | 0:580.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||||
| Zuccarello–Hartman–Trenin | 0:490.00–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||||
| Kaprizov–Boldy–Yurov | ||||||||||||||||
| Brodin–Faber | 3:080.04–0.00 | 5:030.00–0.07 | 2:450.08–0.07 | 2:340.11–0.38 | 7:250.20–0.33 | 3:110.03–0.18 | 2:460.00–0.14 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| Spurgeon–Middleton | 4:220.12–0.05 | 2:510.03–0.04 | 1:340.00–0.16 | 2:430.03–0.13 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 2:200.08–0.01 | 4:000.20–0.20 | 2:030.07–0.12 | 1:350.10–0.02 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:130.16–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||
| Bogosian–Buium | 2:240.03–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 3:380.10–0.05 | 2:270.17–0.29 | 4:120.13–0.05 | 2:270.08–0.05 | 1:250.00–0.24 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Brodin–Middleton | 0:520.03–0.01 | 0:440.03–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MINBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 28:26 | 0:57 | 1:41 | 4 | 3 |
 Brock FaberMIN | 30 | 25:07 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 2 | 6 |
 Kirill KaprizovMIN | 26 | 25:01 | 0:58 | 2:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 29 | 23:54 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 6 | 1 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 29 | 23:52 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 1 | 6 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 29 | 23:34 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 3 | 5 |
 Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 25 | 22:20 | 0:54 | 1:54 | 3 | 8 |
 Matt BoldyMIN | 24 | 21:52 | 0:55 | 1:32 | 1 | 7 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 27 | 21:43 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 5 | 2 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 27 | 21:24 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 1 | 4 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 27 | 21:18 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 4 | 3 |
 Jake MiddletonMIN | 23 | 19:54 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 0 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 26 | 19:44 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 23 | 19:29 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 4 | 0 |
 Mats ZuccarelloMIN | 20 | 18:49 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 1 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 18:14 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 4 | 2 |
 Zeev BuiumMIN | 19 | 18:02 | 0:57 | 1:48 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 18 | 17:39 | 0:59 | 1:41 | 0 | 5 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 21 | 17:34 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 5 | 0 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 25 | 17:32 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Marcus JohanssonMIN | 19 | 17:28 | 0:55 | 1:39 | 1 | 6 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 16:32 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 6 | 2 |
 Danila YurovMIN | 18 | 14:25 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Zach BogosianMIN | 17 | 13:47 | 0:49 | 2:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Yakov TreninMIN | 17 | 13:43 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 1 | 6 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoMIN | 17 | 12:40 | 0:45 | 1:05 | 2 | 3 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 18 | 12:33 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 5 | 1 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 19 | 12:31 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 1 | 5 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 19 | 12:28 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 12:22 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 16 | 12:20 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Josh DunneBUF | 15 | 10:20 | 0:41 | 1:04 | 1 | 3 |
 Liam OhgrenMIN | 12 | 9:34 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Nico SturmMIN | 14 | 8:39 | 0:37 | 0:57 | 1 | 4 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 13 | 8:26 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Tyler PitlickMIN | 9 | 4:53 | 0:33 | 0:54 | 0 | 2 |