Sun, Dec 7, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Dallas Stars 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
9%
36%
DAL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:36 | 0.29 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:36 | 0.05 | 59.7% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:20 | 0.20 | 39.8% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:09 | 0.00 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.37 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:57 | 0.38 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.01 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:30 | 0.42 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.23 | 46.3% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.01 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.07 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:12 | 0.36 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.11 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 40.4% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.14 | 42.9% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.12 | 43.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:04 | 0.14 | 91.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 3.27 | +1.3 | 64:50 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:53 | 0.02 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27:57 | 0.19 | 43.2% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:39 | 0.27 | 43.3% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:20 | 0.47 | 36.2% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:00 | 0.76 | 63.3% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.11 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.11 | 69.6% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 17:02 | 0.83 | 71.8% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.06 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.05 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.04 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.04 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.07 | 11.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:12 | 0.27 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 8.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.91 | +0.9 | 63:36 |