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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 11, 2025·Prudential Center, Newark

Tampa Bay Lightning 8, New Jersey Devils 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 60% of the time.

NJD winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Shot by Hagel, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 2:38Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Markstrom
  4. P1 2:57Goal by Paul (Sabourin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Hamilton, Glendening, Siegenthaler, Crookshank, Parent · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Douglas, Crozier, Carlile

  5. P1 3:28Shot by Bratt, saved by Johansson
  6. P1 3:48Goal by Raddysh (Kucherov, Hagel)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Noesen, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  7. P1 4:04Shot by Mercer, saved by Johansson
  8. P1 4:05Shot by Palat, saved by Johansson
  9. P1 5:06Shot by Glass, saved by Johansson
  10. P1 5:13Shot by White, saved by Johansson
  11. P1 5:20Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Johansson
  12. P1 5:28Shot by Bratt, saved by Johansson
  13. P1 5:28Shot by Bratt, saved by Johansson
  14. P1 5:29Shot by Noesen, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 5:30Shot by Noesen, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 6:04Shot by Hagel, saved by Markstrom
  17. P1 6:10Shot by Moser, saved by Markstrom
  18. P1 7:00Goal by Hughes (Dillon, Cotter)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Glendening, Cotter, Crookshank, Hughes · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Douglas, Crozier, Carlile

  19. P1 7:56Goal by Holmberg (Moser, Gourde)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Palat, White, Cotter, Mercer, Nemec · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser

  20. P1 9:51Shot by D'Astous, saved by Allen
  21. P1 9:59Shot by Cotter, saved by Johansson
  22. P1 12:01Shot by Crookshank, saved by Johansson
  23. P1 12:25Shot by Crozier, saved by Allen
  24. P1 12:28Hischier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Noesen, White, Bratt, Hischier, Nemec · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier, Carlile

  25. P1 13:07Shot by Point, saved by Allen4v5
  26. P1 13:51Shot by Paul, saved by Allen4v5
  27. P1 14:53Nemec: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Noesen, White, Hischier, Gritsyuk, Nemec · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Moser, Lilleberg

  28. P1 14:58Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Allen4v5
  29. P1 15:00Goal by Guentzel (Bjorkstrand, Raddysh)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Hischier, Mercer, Hughes · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh

  30. P1 15:40Shot by D'Astous, saved by Allen
  31. P1 17:10Sabourin: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Crookshank, Mercer, Hughes, Parent · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Douglas, Crozier, Carlile

  32. P1 17:10Dillon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Crookshank, Mercer, Hughes, Parent · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Douglas, Crozier, Carlile

  33. P1 17:10Sabourin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Crookshank, Mercer, Hughes, Parent · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Douglas, Crozier, Carlile

  34. P1 17:31Shot by Nemec, saved by Johansson5v4
  35. P1 17:52Shot by Noesen, saved by Johansson5v4
  36. P1 19:56Shot by Carlile, saved by Allen
  37. P1 0:00Period end
  38. P2 0:00Period start
  39. P2 0:20Shot by Hamilton, saved by Johansson
  40. P2 0:56Shot by Kucherov, saved by Allen
  41. P2 1:11Shot by Moser, saved by Allen
  42. P2 1:16Shot by Carlile, saved by Allen
  43. P2 2:55Shot by Hagel, saved by Allen
  44. P2 3:42Shot by Holmberg, saved by Allen
  45. P2 3:53Shot by Noesen, saved by Johansson
  46. P2 6:19Goal by Bjorkstrand (Guentzel, Point)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Glendening, Siegenthaler, Cotter, Nemec, Parent · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Lilleberg, Carlile

  47. P2 8:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Allen
  48. P2 8:43Shot by Cirelli, saved by Allen
  49. P2 9:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Allen
  50. P2 10:00Shot by Guentzel, saved by Allen
  51. P2 11:37Shot by Cotter, saved by Johansson
  52. P2 12:18Gourde: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Hamilton, Brown, Siegenthaler, Glass, Gritsyuk · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Carlile

  53. P2 13:12Goal by Bratt (Nemec, Noesen)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Noesen, Bratt, Hischier, Mercer, Nemec · TBL Girgensons, Cirelli, D'Astous, Lilleberg

  54. P2 16:10Shot by Carlile, saved by Allen5v6
  55. P2 16:13Shot by Kucherov, saved by Allen5v6
  56. P2 16:35Goal by Hagel (Kucherov, Carlile)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Hamilton, Noesen, Bratt, Hischier, Nemec · TBL Kucherov, Gourde, Hagel, Holmberg, Crozier, Carlile

  57. P2 17:46Shot by Hischier, saved by Johansson
  58. P2 17:59Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Johansson
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:26Shot by Hischier, saved by Johansson
  62. P3 0:28Shot by Hamilton, saved by Johansson
  63. P3 3:13Goal by Crookshank (White, Nemec)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Glendening, White, Bratt, Crookshank, Nemec, Parent · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  64. P3 5:16Shot by Palat, saved by Johansson
  65. P3 6:30Shot by Hamilton, saved by Johansson
  66. P3 7:30Shot by Glass, saved by Johansson
  67. P3 7:45Shot by Moser, saved by Allen
  68. P3 7:55Goal by Point (Kucherov, Moser)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Brown, Glass, Gritsyuk, Hughes · TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser

  69. P3 8:34Shot by Moser, saved by Allen
  70. P3 9:14Shot by Crookshank, saved by Johansson
  71. P3 9:20Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Johansson
  72. P3 10:55Shot by D'Astous, saved by Allen
  73. P3 10:57Shot by Gourde, saved by Allen
  74. P3 12:43Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Johansson
  75. P3 12:52Shot by Hamilton, saved by Johansson
  76. P3 13:37Sabourin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Palat, Cotter, Mercer, Hughes · TBL Sabourin, Paul, D'Astous, Douglas, Lilleberg

  77. P3 14:10Shot by Nemec, saved by Johansson5v4
  78. P3 14:16Shot by Noesen, saved by Johansson5v4
  79. P3 14:19Shot by Hischier, saved by Johansson5v4
  80. P3 15:15Palat: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NJD Palat, Hamilton, Brown, Mercer, Hughes · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Moser, Lilleberg

  81. P3 15:28Goal by Cotter (Glass, Hughes)4v40 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Glass, Cotter, Hughes · TBL Bjorkstrand, Point, D'Astous, Crozier

  82. P3 15:57Goal by Bjorkstrand (Guentzel, Kucherov)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Dillon, Glass, Cotter, Hughes · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh

  83. P3 16:46Shot by Douglas, saved by Allen
  84. P3 17:15Shot by Nemec, saved by Johansson
  85. P3 17:32Shot by Glass, saved by Johansson
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final