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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 13, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, New York Islanders 3 (SO)

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Shootout

Home

New York Islanders

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.

NYI winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Gourde, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:00Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:12Point: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal, Heineman · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh, Moser

  5. P1 1:45Shabanov: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Drouin, Barzal, Schaefer, Shabanov · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, Moser, Lilleberg

  6. P1 2:11D'Astous: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Pulock, Heineman, Ritchie · TBL Kucherov, Gourde, Raddysh, D'Astous

  7. P1 3:05Goal by Schaefer (Duclair, Barzal)4v3+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Drouin, Barzal, Schaefer · TBL Cirelli, Moser, Lilleberg

  8. P1 7:17Shot by Raddysh, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 7:31Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 7:48Shot by Moser, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 8:08Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 9:29Shot by Pelech, saved by Johansson
  13. P1 10:16Goal by Ritchie (Duclair)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Pulock, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Crozier, Carlile, James

  14. P1 11:20Shot by Lee, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 11:25Shot by Lee, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 12:10Shot by Heineman, saved by Johansson
  17. P1 12:44Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 13:33Shot by James, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 14:32Shot by Pulock, saved by Johansson
  20. P1 18:57Shot by Lee, saved by Johansson
  21. P1 19:06Shot by Mayfield, saved by Johansson
  22. P1 0:00Hagel: Abuse of officials (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Pulock, DeAngelo, Ritchie, Shabanov · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg

  23. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:22Ritchie: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Lee, Drouin, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov · TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, D'Astous

  26. P2 3:12Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin4v5
  27. P2 3:13Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin4v5
  28. P2 4:28Shot by D'Astous, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 5:54Shot by James, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 7:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 7:26Shot by Crozier, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 8:07Shot by James, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 8:17Mitchell: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, MacLean, Gatcomb, Mitchell · TBL Kucherov, Paul, D'Astous, Lilleberg, James

  34. P2 9:20Cizikas: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Heineman, Schaefer · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  35. P2 9:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin3v5
  36. P2 10:00Shot by Point, saved by Sorokin3v5
  37. P2 10:13Goal by Raddysh (Kucherov, Guentzel)3v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh

  38. P2 10:39Shot by Point, saved by Sorokin4v5
  39. P2 10:47Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Sorokin4v5
  40. P2 11:00Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin4v5
  41. P2 13:32Shot by Pageau, saved by Johansson
  42. P2 13:50Holmstrom: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Holmstrom, Mitchell · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Crozier, Carlile, James

  43. P2 15:04Shot by Gourde, saved by Sorokin4v5
  44. P2 18:00Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 18:03Shot by Raddysh, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 19:25Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 2:20Shot by MacLean, saved by Johansson
  50. P3 3:20Goal by Moser (Kucherov, Point)+32 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Ritchie, Shabanov · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Crozier, Moser

  51. P3 5:01D'Astous: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Drouin, Pulock, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer · TBL Kucherov, Paul, D'Astous, Crozier, James

  52. P3 5:20Shot by Hagel, saved by Sorokin5v4
  53. P3 7:04Shot by Drouin, saved by Johansson
  54. P3 7:27Shot by MacLean, saved by Johansson
  55. P3 8:21Shot by Pulock, saved by Johansson
  56. P3 11:01Shot by Holmberg, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 11:04Shot by Carlile, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 11:22Shot by Barzal, saved by Johansson
  59. P3 11:38Shot by Point, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 14:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 19:41Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 19:46Shot by Moser, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 19:51Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Johansson
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. OT 0:00Period start
  66. OT 3:19Shot by Schaefer, saved by Johansson3v3
  67. OT 4:11Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin3v3
  68. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  69. SO Period start
  70. SO Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokinother
  71. SO Goal by Barzal, unassistedother
  72. SO Goal by Point, unassistedother
  73. SO Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Johanssonother
  74. SO Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokinother
  75. SO Goal by Heineman, unassistedother
  76. SO Period endother
  77. SO Finalother