Sat, Dec 13, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, New York Islanders 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
10%
80%
NYI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28:22 | 0.27 | 58.2% | +13.1 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:02 | 0.12 | 62.8% | +32.2 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 25:37 | 0.44 | 54.3% | +45.3 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:58 | 0.03 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 20:18 | 1.12 | 58.2% | +13.1 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.31 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.22 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.67 | 48.9% | +32.2 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.32 | 87.0% | 0.0 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.01 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.06 | 74.7% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.03 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.02 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.31 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.17 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:37 | 0.19 | 61.8% | 0.0 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:56 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | O | 17 | 15 | 2 | .882 | 1.91 | −0.1 | 64:54 |
 Brandon Halverson#33 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0:06 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matthew SchaeferD · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 26:16 | 0.22 | 40.9% | +11.2 |
 Mathew BarzalC · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:58 | 0.42 | 62.0% | +11.2 |
 Ryan PulockD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:02 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
 Adam PelechD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.01 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 Scott MayfieldD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:33 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan DrouinLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.16 | 59.9% | 0.0 |
 Emil HeinemanLW · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.23 | 60.6% | 0.0 |
 Simon HolmstromRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.07 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.08 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
 Tony DeAngeloD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.04 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
 Casey CizikasC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.02 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 22.3% | +23.6 |
 Kyle MacLeanC · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.28 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
 Anders LeeLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:49 | 0.16 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Maxim ShabanovRW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.09 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
 Travis MitchellD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:35 | 0.02 | 37.9% | 0.0 |
 Calum RitchieC · #64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:27 | 0.09 | 17.8% | +12.4 |
 Marc GatcombC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.01 | 32.9% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Sorokin#30 | W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 4.29 | +2.3 | 65:00 |