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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 13, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Edmonton Oilers 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Edmonton Oilers

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 2:34Shot by Bouchard, saved by Hildeby
  4. P1 2:53Shot by Tomasek, saved by Hildeby
  5. P1 3:25Goal by McDavid (Bouchard)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Roy, Robertson · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid, Bouchard, Regula

  6. P1 3:38Domi: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, Knies · EDM Nurse, Draisaitl, Regula, Podkolzin, Savoie

  7. P1 4:22Shot by Hyman, saved by Hildeby4v5
  8. P1 4:52Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Jarry4v5
  9. P1 5:13Shot by Knies, saved by Jarry4v5
  10. P1 5:51Shot by Savoie, saved by Hildeby
  11. P1 5:58Shot by Emberson, saved by Hildeby
  12. P1 6:14Shot by Frederic, saved by Hildeby
  13. P1 8:16Shot by Stastney, saved by Hildeby
  14. P1 9:11Shot by Lazar, saved by Hildeby
  15. P1 9:35Shot by Tomasek, saved by Hildeby
  16. P1 10:21Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 11:22Shot by Knies, saved by Jarry
  18. P1 11:59Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 12:51Shot by Ekholm, saved by Hildeby
  20. P1 16:02Shot by Laughton, saved by Jarry
  21. P1 16:03Goal by Cowan (Laughton, Lorentz)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz, Stecher, Cowan · EDM Ekholm, Lazar, Mangiapane, Bouchard, Tomasek

  22. P1 17:12Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry
  23. P1 17:21Shot by Podkolzin, saved by Hildeby
  24. P1 19:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:51Shot by Henrique, saved by Hildeby
  28. P2 3:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  29. P2 3:54Shot by Lorentz, saved by Jarry
  30. P2 4:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  31. P2 4:53Shot by Domi, saved by Jarry
  32. P2 4:54Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Knies, Domi)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Domi, Matthews, Knies · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, McDavid, Regula

  33. P2 5:22Tavares: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Stecher, McMann · EDM Ekholm, Draisaitl, Bouchard, Podkolzin, Savoie

  34. P2 5:55Shot by McDavid, saved by Hildeby4v5
  35. P2 5:57Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Hildeby4v5
  36. P2 6:07Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Hildeby4v5
  37. P2 6:37Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Hildeby4v5
  38. P2 6:49Shot by Bouchard, saved by Hildeby4v5
  39. P2 7:13Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Hildeby4v5
  40. P2 7:31Shot by Janmark, saved by Hildeby
  41. P2 9:15Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 10:29Goal by McDavid, unassisted+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, Knies · EDM Ekholm, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid, Bouchard

  43. P2 11:03Shot by Emberson, saved by Hildeby
  44. P2 11:42Shot by Lorentz, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 12:01Shot by Cowan, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 13:18Shot by Savoie, saved by Hildeby
  47. P2 14:02Podkolzin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Stecher, McMann · EDM Ekholm, Hyman, McDavid, Bouchard, Podkolzin

  48. P2 15:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry5v4
  49. P2 15:44Shot by Domi, saved by Jarry5v4
  50. P2 15:45Shot by Roy, saved by Jarry5v4
  51. P2 16:35Shot by Stastney, saved by Hildeby
  52. P2 16:48Shot by Knies, saved by Jarry
  53. P2 18:39Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Hildeby
  54. P2 19:29Goal by Nurse (Draisaitl, McDavid)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Roy, Benoit, Robertson · EDM Hyman, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:11Shot by Regula, saved by Hildeby
  58. P3 1:21Goal by Podkolzin (Draisaitl, Regula)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, McMann · EDM Nurse, Draisaitl, Regula, Podkolzin, Savoie

  59. P3 1:55Goal by Podkolzin (Draisaitl, Savoie)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, McMann · EDM Nurse, Draisaitl, Regula, Podkolzin, Savoie

  60. P3 4:58Shot by Stastney, saved by Hildeby
  61. P3 6:21Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Hildeby
  62. P3 7:01Shot by Podkolzin, saved by Hildeby
  63. P3 7:24Shot by Thrun, saved by Jarry
  64. P3 9:28Goal by Hyman (Nugent-Hopkins)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Knies · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, McDavid, Regula

  65. P3 11:06Shot by Janmark, saved by Akhtyamov
  66. P3 11:11Shot by Stastney, saved by Akhtyamov
  67. P3 13:04Shot by Emberson, saved by Akhtyamov
  68. P3 13:42Shot by Tomasek, saved by Akhtyamov
  69. P3 14:50Shot by Savoie, saved by Akhtyamov
  70. P3 15:39Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Jarry
  71. P3 17:12Shot by Robertson, saved by Jarry
  72. P3 17:13Shot by Robertson, saved by Jarry
  73. P3 17:15Shot by Robertson, saved by Jarry
  74. P3 19:12Goal by Lorentz (McCabe, Stecher)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz, Stecher, McMann · EDM Henrique, Janmark, Frederic, Emberson, Stastney

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final