Sat, Dec 13, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 75% of the time.
18%
68%
TOR winsEDM wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Henrique–Janmark–Frederic | Draisaitl–Podkolzin–Savoie | Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid | Lazar–Mangiapane–Tomasek | Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid | Draisaitl–McDavid–Podkolzin | Nugent-Hopkins–Mangiapane–Savoie | Nurse–Regula | Ekholm–Bouchard | Emberson–Stastney | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domi–Matthews–Knies | 1:370.08–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.16 | 8:030.24–1.14 | 4:100.24–0.03 | 5:410.08–1.25 | 0:550.00–0.03 | ||||
| Tavares–Nylander–McMann | 7:010.06–0.53 | 1:030.00–0.08 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 5:050.02–0.49 | 3:040.05–0.04 | 1:580.00–0.20 | ||||
| Jarnkrok–Roy–Robertson | 2:270.09–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.15 | 1:500.03–0.03 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.03 | 2:370.09–0.02 | |||
| Laughton–Lorentz–Cowan | 2:460.09–0.23 | 1:270.15–0.23 | 0:590.02–0.23 | 1:130.15–0.00 | 2:240.09–0.23 | |||||
| Jarnkrok–Roy–Cowan | 1:320.00–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.03 | 1:180.00–0.03 | 0:490.00–0.04 | ||||||
| Roy–Robertson–Cowan | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Laughton–Robertson–McMann | 1:000.41–0.09 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:460.41–0.00 | |||||||
| Jarnkrok–Matthews–Knies | 0:450.14–0.00 | 1:030.14–0.00 | ||||||||
| Laughton–Lorentz–Robertson | 0:390.00–0.05 | 0:350.00–0.05 | ||||||||
| Tavares–Domi–Knies | 0:430.00–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Laughton–Lorentz–McMann | 1:020.10–0.00 | 1:020.10–0.00 | ||||||||
| McCabe–Stecher | 1:390.11–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.20 | 5:560.00–1.12 | 1:340.23–0.00 | 1:210.21–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 4:330.02–0.04 | 8:050.24–1.29 | 2:010.25–0.04 | |
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 2:360.09–0.03 | 4:110.07–0.31 | 1:180.24–0.19 | 1:400.00–0.11 | 4:540.27–0.32 | 3:270.12–0.09 | 3:020.05–0.06 | |||
| Benoit–Thrun | 4:150.09–0.25 | 1:050.00–0.05 | 2:350.02–0.23 | 1:440.00–0.23 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 6:130.11–0.50 | ||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 1:540.00–0.11 | 1:190.02–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:590.02–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.00 | ||||
| Rielly–Thrun | 1:130.00–0.01 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 1:500.14–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.01 | |||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 0:560.00–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Rielly–Stecher | 1:040.41–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:500.41–0.00 | |||||||
| Rielly–McCabe | 0:310.00–0.11 | 0:370.00–0.25 | ||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | 0:360.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOREDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Troy StecherTOR | 26 | 22:08 | 0:51 | 1:58 | 0 | 1 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 24 | 21:50 | 0:55 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 27 | 21:37 | 0:48 | 1:58 | 0 | 1 |
 Evan BouchardEDM | 24 | 21:34 | 0:54 | 2:25 | 3 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 21:25 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 5 | 3 |
 Alec RegulaEDM | 22 | 21:15 | 0:58 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 19 | 21:08 | 1:07 | 2:29 | 2 | 0 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 21 | 19:42 | 0:56 | 1:58 | 4 | 0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 28 | 19:32 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 4 | 4 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 27 | 18:33 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 0 | 6 |
 Mattias EkholmEDM | 24 | 18:32 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 22 | 18:23 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 1 | 1 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 22 | 18:04 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 3 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 17:33 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 1 | 1 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 20 | 17:18 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 2 | 2 |
 Ty EmbersonEDM | 20 | 17:12 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 17 | 16:55 | 1:00 | 2:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Spencer StastneyEDM | 20 | 16:22 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 17 | 15:44 | 0:56 | 1:43 | 2 | 0 |
 Max DomiTOR | 20 | 15:30 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam HenriqueEDM | 19 | 15:11 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 3 | 4 |
 Matt SavoieEDM | 19 | 15:10 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Mattias JanmarkEDM | 16 | 14:54 | 0:56 | 1:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Henry ThrunTOR | 21 | 14:49 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 0 | 3 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 20 | 14:47 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 1 | 5 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 17 | 14:37 | 0:52 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 21 | 14:01 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 1 | 0 |
 William NylanderTOR | 17 | 13:46 | 0:49 | 1:51 | 3 | 1 |
 Trent FredericEDM | 16 | 13:39 | 0:51 | 1:07 | 4 | 0 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 19 | 13:29 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 0 | 5 |
 Andrew MangiapaneEDM | 16 | 13:02 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 2 | 1 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 14 | 12:59 | 0:56 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 15 | 12:56 | 0:52 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 15 | 11:17 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 Curtis LazarEDM | 19 | 10:48 | 0:34 | 1:11 | 3 | 5 |
 David TomasekEDM | 13 | 8:18 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 |