Sat, Dec 13, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 75% of the time.
18%
68%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.19 | 64.2% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:34 | 0.11 | 80.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.17 | 65.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.29 | 56.0% | +44.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 19:42 | 1.29 | 63.9% | +60.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.04 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.44 | 74.5% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.19 | 82.0% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:12 | 0.05 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:22 | 0.09 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.06 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:10 | 0.05 | 81.1% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.06 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 14:01 | 0.52 | 58.1% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.39 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.01 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:48 | 0.06 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 8:18 | 0.33 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.72 | −0.3 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.01 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:37 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:25 | 0.05 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.12 | 34.2% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:23 | 0.40 | 29.2% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.25 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.21 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.08 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.20 | 20.1% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.02 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.25 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.06 | 57.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.05 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:29 | 0.20 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.50 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.09 | 50.0% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 11:17 | 0.23 | 43.4% | +16.0 |
| L | 32 | 27 | 6 | .844 | 3.99 | −2.0 | 49:28 | |
| – | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.34 | +0.3 | 10:32 |