Sat, Dec 13, 2025·United Center, Chicago
Detroit Red Wings 4, Chicago Blackhawks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 210 | 110 | 14 | 424 |
| CHI | 08 | 06 | 012 | 026 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:55DETAlex DeBrincatGWGAssists: Andrew Copp, Patrick Kane · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 4:35DETPatrick KaneAssists: Alex DeBrincat · Backhand, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 14:23DETEmmitt FinnieAssists: Lucas Raymond, Axel Sandin-Pellikka · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–0
- P3 16:14DETAlex DeBrincatENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.54 xG4–0
Penalties (6)
- P1 12:24CHIOliver Moore: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:30CHIColton Dach: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:34DETJacob Bernard-Docker: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:30CHIAndre Burakovsky: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:04DETEmmitt Finnie: Interference2 min
- P3 6:48DETAlex DeBrincat: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nazar won the faceoff against Copp
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestKane – Copp – DeBrincat12:25
xG 0.73–0.10 (88%)attempts 14–12goals 2–0
- Larkin – Raymond – Finnie10:55
xG 0.49–0.64 (43%)attempts 9–16goals 1–0
- Soderblom – Kasper – Danielson6:39
xG 0.07–0.23 (23%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Compher – Rasmussen7:29
xG 0.06–0.45 (11%)attempts 2–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeider – Edvinsson17:56
xG 0.70–0.47 (60%)attempts 11–22goals 1–0
- Chiarot – Sandin-Pellikka14:29
xG 0.57–0.60 (49%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
- Bernard-Docker – Johansson10:04
xG 0.18–0.53 (25%)attempts 4–17goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Bertuzzi – Nazar9:07
xG 0.62–0.48 (56%)attempts 19–7goals 0–2
- Teravainen – Dickinson – Mikheyev9:17
xG 0.31–0.25 (55%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Toninato – Donato – Dach8:26
xG 0.23–0.23 (50%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Greene – Lardis – Moore6:33
xG 0.15–0.34 (30%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Grzelcyk – Levshunov15:01
xG 0.59–0.55 (52%)attempts 18–10goals 0–1
- Murphy – Kaiser12:58
xG 0.31–0.28 (53%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Vlasic – Levshunov2:26
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).