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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 18, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Los Angeles Kings 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 81% of the time.

TBL winsLAK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Clarke, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 3:28Shot by D'Astous, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 3:41Shot by Byfield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:40Shot by Moser, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 5:29Shot by Moore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 8:30Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  8. P1 9:27Shot by Moore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 9:36Shot by Edmundson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 9:38Shot by Turcotte, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 10:01Shot by Perry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 10:02Shot by Perry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 10:27Shot by Gourde, saved by Forsberg
  14. P1 10:58Shot by McDonagh, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 11:17Shot by Raddysh, saved by Forsberg
  16. P1 11:41Kempe: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg · LAK Kopitar, Edmundson, Kempe, Laferriere, Clarke

  17. P1 12:52Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Forsberg5v4
  18. P1 12:54Goal by Bjorkstrand (Cirelli, Guentzel)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh, Cirelli · LAK Dumoulin, Armia, Ceci, Moore

  19. P1 14:16Shot by James, saved by Forsberg
  20. P1 17:08Shot by Gourde, saved by Forsberg
  21. P1 19:55Shot by James, saved by Forsberg
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 2:55Shot by Goncalves, saved by Forsberg
  25. P2 5:21Goal by Kempe (Kopitar, Perry)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg · LAK Kopitar, Doughty, Edmundson, Kempe, Clarke

  26. P2 6:02Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 7:11Shot by Moser, saved by Forsberg
  28. P2 8:12Shot by Laferriere, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 10:09Goncalves: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves, Moser · LAK Edmundson, Moore, Turcotte, Clarke, Kuzmenko

  30. P2 10:39Shot by Kuzmenko, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  31. P2 11:09Shot by Cirelli, saved by Forsberg4v5
  32. P2 11:11Fiala: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, D'Astous · LAK Kopitar, Doughty, Fiala, Kempe, Kuzmenko

  33. P2 11:57Shot by Byfield, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  34. P2 12:54Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  35. P2 13:12Shot by Raddysh, saved by Forsberg
  36. P2 14:48Shot by Goncalves, saved by Forsberg
  37. P2 15:40Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 15:58Goal by Kempe, unassisted+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg · LAK Kopitar, Dumoulin, Ceci, Kempe, Foegele

  39. P2 16:10Shot by Byfield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 16:21Shot by Guentzel, saved by Forsberg
  41. P2 17:25Anderson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh, Moser · LAK Perry, Ceci, Moore, Anderson, Laferriere

  42. P2 18:21Shot by Armia, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  43. P2 19:59Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:18Shot by Byfield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P3 0:42Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg
  48. P3 1:08Shot by Holmberg, saved by Forsberg
  49. P3 1:09Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  50. P3 1:59Shot by Moore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 4:37Shot by Clarke, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 5:03Shot by Guentzel, saved by Forsberg
  53. P3 5:06Shot by Guentzel, saved by Forsberg
  54. P3 7:45Kempe: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Guentzel, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser · LAK Kopitar, Edmundson, Kempe, Foegele, Anderson

  55. P3 7:56Shot by Guentzel, saved by Forsberg5v4
  56. P3 8:02Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg5v4
  57. P3 8:44Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Forsberg5v4
  58. P3 16:26Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Forsberg
  59. P3 17:38Shot by Raddysh, saved by Forsberg6v5
  60. P3 18:12Shot by Paul, saved by Forsberg6v5
  61. P3 18:55Perry: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Point, Raddysh, D'Astous · LAK Kopitar, Doughty, Edmundson, Moore, Anderson, Laferriere

  62. P3 18:55Perry: Misconduct (10 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Point, Raddysh, D'Astous · LAK Kopitar, Doughty, Edmundson, Moore, Anderson, Laferriere

  63. P3 19:09Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Forsberg6v4
  64. P3 19:50Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg6v4
  65. P3 0:00Period end6v4
  66. P3 0:00Final6v4