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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 18, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Los Angeles Kings 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 81% of the time.

TBL winsLAK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against LAK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Moore–Turcotte–KuzmenkoFiala–Foegele–ByfieldKopitar–Kempe–LaferrierePerry–Armia–HeleniusKopitar–Kempe–FoegeleFiala–Byfield–LaferrierePerry–Kopitar–KempeKopitar–Moore–KuzmenkoPerry–Armia–ByfieldArmia–Kempe–LaferriereArmia–Laferriere–HeleniusDoughty–AndersonDumoulin–CeciEdmundson–ClarkeDoughty–ClarkeDumoulin–ClarkeDoughty–Ceci
Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg4:250.12–0.003:020.15–0.130:500.00–0.003:230.06–0.003:570.16–0.132:330.05–0.000:310.00–0.00
Guentzel–Paul–Cirelli5:200.17–0.053:000.15–0.001:480.00–0.031:270.04–0.04
Bjorkstrand–Point–Goncalves4:120.14–0.190:430.00–0.000:560.00–0.012:450.14–0.17
Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Point1:030.00–0.000:300.19–0.000:420.00–0.001:420.26–0.000:420.00–0.001:180.00–0.00
Douglas–Goncalves–James2:210.02–0.041:240.00–0.040:460.02–0.00
Paul–Goncalves–James1:070.00–0.000:500.06–0.001:180.00–0.000:500.06–0.00
Guentzel–Point–Cirelli0:440.00–0.00
Raddysh–Moser0:470.00–0.005:470.16–0.021:020.06–0.001:160.00–0.040:520.00–0.001:470.04–0.020:320.00–0.007:190.28–0.044:090.00–0.003:350.03–0.04
McDonagh–D'Astous1:100.01–0.034:050.16–0.001:310.04–0.001:280.15–0.130:500.06–0.001:160.00–0.000:510.20–0.000:500.02–0.004:120.28–0.005:460.24–0.163:420.21–0.000:430.00–0.00
Crozier–Carlile6:140.23–0.371:060.08–0.000:410.00–0.083:480.06–0.272:320.00–0.013:250.24–0.17
Crozier–Moser0:430.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:340.10–0.11
D'Astous–Moser0:380.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaul FGuentzel FCirelli FGirgensons FGourde FHolmberg FPoint FBjorkstrand FDouglas FJames FGoncalves FKucherov FRaddysh DMoser DMcDonagh DD'Astous DCrozier DCarlile DVasilevskiy GFiala FFoegele FByfield FKempe FKopitar FLaferriere FMoore FTurcotte FKuzmenko FHelenius FPerry FArmia FDoughty DAnderson DEdmundson DClarke DDumoulin DCeci DForsberg G
TBLLAKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake GuentzelTBL2426:451:072:5033
Darren RaddyshTBL2526:011:022:4971
Drew DoughtyLAK2424:191:011:4617
Mikey AndersonLAK2722:450:511:3106
Brayden PointTBL2322:040:582:2772
J.J. MoserTBL2422:000:551:3471
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2721:330:481:4450
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL2020:541:032:3242
Joel EdmundsonLAK2219:150:532:3412
Quinton ByfieldLAK2319:120:501:3916
Anze KopitarLAK2319:060:501:4629
Brian DumoulinLAK2018:400:561:4117
Cody CeciLAK2218:320:511:4216
Ryan McDonaghTBL2417:490:451:1341
Nick PaulTBL1917:310:552:1361
Gage GoncalvesTBL2017:260:522:0650
Yanni GourdeTBL2217:220:471:2381
Trevor MooreLAK1816:450:561:3813
Warren FoegeleLAK2116:270:471:1736
Kevin FialaLAK1815:540:531:2222
Brandt ClarkeLAK2015:480:471:4413
Adrian KempeLAK2015:410:471:3125
Anthony CirelliTBL1715:400:551:4241
Pontus HolmbergTBL2015:370:471:1671
Alex LaferriereLAK2115:060:431:1604
Dominic JamesTBL1713:580:491:1410
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL2013:570:421:0761
Max CrozierTBL1813:310:451:1341
Corey PerryLAK1512:420:511:1502
Andrei KuzmenkoLAK1212:201:021:5011
Joel ArmiaLAK1511:580:481:0802
Declan CarlileTBL1411:450:501:5821
Alex TurcotteLAK1410:570:471:0611
Curtis DouglasTBL96:590:471:0320
Samuel HeleniusLAK76:200:541:1100
Nikita KucherovTBL00:00––00