Thu, Dec 18, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Los Angeles Kings 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 81% of the time.
75%
12%
TBL winsLAK wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against LAK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Moore–Turcotte–Kuzmenko | Fiala–Foegele–Byfield | Kopitar–Kempe–Laferriere | Perry–Armia–Helenius | Kopitar–Kempe–Foegele | Fiala–Byfield–Laferriere | Perry–Kopitar–Kempe | Kopitar–Moore–Kuzmenko | Perry–Armia–Byfield | Armia–Kempe–Laferriere | Armia–Laferriere–Helenius | Doughty–Anderson | Dumoulin–Ceci | Edmundson–Clarke | Doughty–Clarke | Dumoulin–Clarke | Doughty–Ceci | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 4:250.12–0.00 | 3:020.15–0.13 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 3:230.06–0.00 | 3:570.16–0.13 | 2:330.05–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Guentzel–Paul–Cirelli | 5:200.17–0.05 | 3:000.15–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.03 | 1:270.04–0.04 | |||||||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Point–Goncalves | 4:120.14–0.19 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.01 | 2:450.14–0.17 | |||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Point | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:300.19–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:420.26–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Douglas–Goncalves–James | 2:210.02–0.04 | 1:240.00–0.04 | 0:460.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Paul–Goncalves–James | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:500.06–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:500.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Point–Cirelli | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 0:470.00–0.00 | 5:470.16–0.02 | 1:020.06–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.04 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:470.04–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 7:190.28–0.04 | 4:090.00–0.00 | 3:350.03–0.04 | |||||||
| McDonagh–D'Astous | 1:100.01–0.03 | 4:050.16–0.00 | 1:310.04–0.00 | 1:280.15–0.13 | 0:500.06–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:510.20–0.00 | 0:500.02–0.00 | 4:120.28–0.00 | 5:460.24–0.16 | 3:420.21–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||
| Crozier–Carlile | 6:140.23–0.37 | 1:060.08–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.08 | 3:480.06–0.27 | 2:320.00–0.01 | 3:250.24–0.17 | |||||||||||
| Crozier–Moser | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.10–0.11 | |||||||||||||
| D'Astous–Moser | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLLAKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 24 | 26:45 | 1:07 | 2:50 | 3 | 3 | |
| 25 | 26:01 | 1:02 | 2:49 | 7 | 1 | |
| 24 | 24:19 | 1:01 | 1:46 | 1 | 7 | |
| 27 | 22:45 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 0 | 6 | |
| 23 | 22:04 | 0:58 | 2:27 | 7 | 2 | |
| 24 | 22:00 | 0:55 | 1:34 | 7 | 1 | |
| 27 | 21:33 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 5 | 0 | |
| 20 | 20:54 | 1:03 | 2:32 | 4 | 2 | |
| 22 | 19:15 | 0:53 | 2:34 | 1 | 2 | |
| 23 | 19:12 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 1 | 6 | |
| 23 | 19:06 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 2 | 9 | |
| 20 | 18:40 | 0:56 | 1:41 | 1 | 7 | |
| 22 | 18:32 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 1 | 6 | |
| 24 | 17:49 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 | |
| 19 | 17:31 | 0:55 | 2:13 | 6 | 1 | |
| 20 | 17:26 | 0:52 | 2:06 | 5 | 0 | |
| 22 | 17:22 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 8 | 1 | |
| 18 | 16:45 | 0:56 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 | |
| 21 | 16:27 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 3 | 6 | |
| 18 | 15:54 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 | |
| 20 | 15:48 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 1 | 3 | |
| 20 | 15:41 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 2 | 5 | |
| 17 | 15:40 | 0:55 | 1:42 | 4 | 1 | |
| 20 | 15:37 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 7 | 1 | |
| 21 | 15:06 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 0 | 4 | |
| 17 | 13:58 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 | |
| 20 | 13:57 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 6 | 1 | |
| 18 | 13:31 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 | |
| 15 | 12:42 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 | |
| 12 | 12:20 | 1:02 | 1:50 | 1 | 1 | |
| 15 | 11:58 | 0:48 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 | |
| 14 | 11:45 | 0:50 | 1:58 | 2 | 1 | |
| 14 | 10:57 | 0:47 | 1:06 | 1 | 1 | |
| 9 | 6:59 | 0:47 | 1:03 | 2 | 0 | |
| 7 | 6:20 | 0:54 | 1:11 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0:00 | – | – | 0 | 0 |