Sun, Dec 21, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Montréal Canadiens 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.
48%
8%
35%
PIT winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28:58 | 0.54 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 27:23 | 0.18 | 32.4% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:26 | 0.27 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:33 | 0.20 | 24.5% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:29 | 0.00 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.12 | 54.6% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:04 | 0.37 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.29 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.05 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.09 | 59.3% | +36.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 14:44 | 0.62 | 48.1% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.32 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.04 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:32 | 0.13 | 34.0% | +32.9 |
| O | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.67 | +0.7 | 65:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:07 | 0.17 | 69.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:36 | 0.08 | 68.4% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:51 | 0.26 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:44 | 0.83 | 76.2% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.04 | 74.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:34 | 0.07 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.31 | 85.8% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.07 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.18 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:11 | 0.53 | 83.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.17 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.16 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:49 | 0.22 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.08 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.13 | 49.9% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.02 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.15 | 89.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:26 | 0.22 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 3.22 | +0.2 | 65:00 |