Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 6, Vancouver Canucks 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 96% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 211 | 112 | 315 | 638 |
| VAN | 18 | 06 | 213 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:11SJSRyan ReavesAssists: Barclay Goodrow, Vincent Iorio · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
- P1 7:55SJSJohn KlingbergAssists: Macklin Celebrini · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–0
- P1 10:04VANLinus KarlssonPPAssists: Conor Garland, Filip Hronek · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–1
- P2 12:38SJSWilliam EklundUnassisted · Other, 1.00 xG3–1
- P3 0:36VANMarco RossiAssists: Filip Hronek, Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–2
- P3 4:47SJSIgor ChernyshovPPGWGAssists: Adam Gaudette, Dmitry Orlov · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–2
- P3 10:43VANDrew O'ConnorSHUnassisted · Snap, 0.08 xG4–3
- P3 16:20SJSMacklin CelebriniAssists: Igor Chernyshov, William Eklund · Snap, 0.09 xG5–3
- P3 16:55SJSCollin GrafENAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.81 xG6–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:31SJSVincent Iorio: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 18:16VANTyler Myers: Interference2 min
- P2 17:27SJSTy Dellandrea: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:39VANEvander Kane: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:48VANTyler Myers: Cross checking2 min
- P3 2:56VANMarcus Pettersson: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 7:39SJSTy Dellandrea: High sticking2 min
- P3 9:14VANZeev Buium: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:40SJSAlexander Wennberg: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Celebrini won the faceoff against Rossi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestEklund – Celebrini – Chernyshov12:04
xG 2.17–0.34 (86%)attempts 19–12goals 3–1
- Skinner – Gaudette – Dellandrea8:57
xG 0.44–0.23 (66%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Wennberg – Graf9:22
xG 0.34–0.17 (68%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Reaves – Goodrow – Ostapchuk6:38
xG 0.45–0.54 (45%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestIorio – Dickinson12:22
xG 1.83–0.63 (75%)attempts 16–13goals 2–0
- Ferraro – Mukhamadullin15:11
xG 0.87–0.23 (79%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Orlov – Klingberg13:27
xG 0.59–0.50 (54%)attempts 12–14goals 2–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKampf – O'Connor – Ohgren3:28
xG 0.35–0.02 (94%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Kane – Pettersson – Sherwood10:20
xG 0.39–0.27 (59%)attempts 11–9goals 0–2
- Boeser – Garland – Kampf2:41
xG 0.08–0.07 (53%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- O'Connor – Ohgren – Sasson3:18
xG 0.15–0.44 (25%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Pettersson – Willander5:30
xG 0.45–0.44 (50%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Myers – Buium7:43
xG 0.18–0.27 (41%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Hronek12:31
xG 0.27–0.59 (31%)attempts 11–13goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 96% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).