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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 27, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Colorado Avalanche 6, Vegas Golden Knights 5 (SO)

Away

Colorado Avalanche

6

Final

Shootout

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 61% of the time.

VGK winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hart
  3. P1 2:33Shot by Hanifin, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 2:37Shot by Kolesar, saved by Wedgewood
  5. P1 2:43Goal by Holtz (Hanifin, Hertl)+12 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Hutton, Hanifin, Dorofeyev, Holtz · COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta

  6. P1 3:44Shot by Nelson, saved by Hart
  7. P1 7:05Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Hart
  8. P1 8:04Shot by Girard, saved by Hart
  9. P1 9:14Shot by Toews, saved by Hart
  10. P1 9:14Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hart
  11. P1 10:03Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hart
  12. P1 10:30Shot by Hutton, saved by Wedgewood
  13. P1 11:30Makar: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Barbashev, Marner, Korczak · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  14. P1 12:02Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  15. P1 13:04Shot by Holtz, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  16. P1 13:13Shot by Howden, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  17. P1 14:58Whitecloud: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Lauzon, Whitecloud, Dorofeyev, Holtz · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Girard, Makar

  18. P1 17:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hart
  19. P1 18:52Shot by Colton, saved by Hart
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:34Goal by Barbashev (Marner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Barbashev, Marner, Korczak · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  23. P2 1:09Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hart
  24. P2 1:30Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Wedgewood
  25. P2 4:16Shot by Landeskog, saved by Hart
  26. P2 5:19Goal by Girard (Malinski, Nichushkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Lauzon, Whitecloud, Dorofeyev, Holtz · COL Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, Malinski

  27. P2 5:36Shot by Hanifin, saved by Wedgewood
  28. P2 6:31Shot by Toews, saved by Hart
  29. P2 6:37Shot by Barbashev, saved by Wedgewood
  30. P2 8:16Shot by Hertl, saved by Wedgewood
  31. P2 8:38Shot by Bowman, saved by Wedgewood
  32. P2 8:39Shot by Bowman, saved by Wedgewood
  33. P2 8:39Shot by Bowman, saved by Wedgewood
  34. P2 9:33Shot by Saad, saved by Wedgewood
  35. P2 9:36Shot by Sissons, saved by Wedgewood
  36. P2 10:27Goal by Necas (Malinski, Girard)+25 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Barbashev, Marner, Korczak · COL Manson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Necas, Malinski

  37. P2 11:36Goal by Hutton (Holtz, Hanifin)+26 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Hutton, Hanifin, Dorofeyev, Holtz · COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta

  38. P2 12:05Goal by Howden (Smith, Lauzon)+14 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Smith, Lauzon, Howden, Whitecloud, Bowman · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  39. P2 12:43Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hart
  40. P2 14:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hart
  41. P2 15:41Shot by Necas, saved by Hart
  42. P2 17:21Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hart
  43. P2 18:49Shot by Colton, saved by Hart
  44. P2 19:52Shot by Necas, saved by Hart
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:33Shot by Marner, saved by Wedgewood
  48. P3 0:39Shot by Barbashev, saved by Wedgewood
  49. P3 1:52Shot by Nelson, saved by Hart
  50. P3 1:59Shot by Nelson, saved by Hart
  51. P3 2:27Shot by Malinski, saved by Hart
  52. P3 2:56Shot by Malinski, saved by Hart
  53. P3 3:52Goal by Necas (MacKinnon)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Smith, Howden, Korczak, Bowman · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  54. P3 5:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hart
  55. P3 5:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hart
  56. P3 5:17Shot by Landeskog, saved by Hart
  57. P3 5:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hart
  58. P3 5:52Brindley: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Barbashev, Marner, Korczak · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Necas

  59. P3 6:02Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hart5v4
  60. P3 6:34Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  61. P3 8:21Goal by MacKinnon (Malinski, Landeskog)+36 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Saad, Sissons, Kolesar, Korczak · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Malinski

  62. P3 9:13Shot by Drury, saved by Hart
  63. P3 9:48Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hart
  64. P3 10:36Manson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hertl, Hutton, Barbashev, Hanifin · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin

  65. P3 11:17Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hart5v4
  66. P3 11:49Shot by Bowman, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  67. P3 11:55Shot by Hanifin, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  68. P3 16:00Goal by Sissons (Kolesar, Korczak)+44 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Saad, Sissons, Kolesar, Korczak · COL Burns, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas

  69. P3 17:12Shot by Malinski, saved by Hart
  70. P3 18:03Goal by Lehkonen (MacKinnon, Nelson)5v6+48 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Marner, Howden, Korczak · COL Nelson, Landeskog, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 4:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hart3v3
  74. OT 4:27Shot by Toews, saved by Hart3v3
  75. OT 4:37Shot by Landeskog, saved by Hart3v3
  76. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  77. SO Period start
  78. SO Shot by Colton, saved by Hartother
  79. SO Goal by Necas, unassistedother
  80. SO Goal by Marner, unassistedother
  81. SO Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hartother
  82. SO Shot by Smith, saved by Wedgewoodother
  83. SO Goal by MacKinnon, unassistedother
  84. SO Period endother
  85. SO Finalother