Sat, Dec 27, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Colorado Avalanche 6, Vegas Golden Knights 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 61% of the time.
31%
54%
VGK winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:39 | 0.22 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 9 | 25:28 | 1.00 | 55.6% | +96.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:39 | 0.07 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:52 | 0.46 | 90.2% | +48.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 21:09 | 0.30 | 51.7% | +37.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.75 | 88.1% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:04 | 0.27 | 48.0% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 20:03 | 0.43 | 77.1% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 19:11 | 0.12 | 96.6% | +74.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.04 | 82.9% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.04 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.13 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:51 | 0.10 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:01 | 0.05 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:34 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 3.26 | −1.7 | 64:10 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 26:01 | 0.04 | 43.2% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 23:13 | 0.00 | 49.0% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.06 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:21 | 0.01 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:51 | 0.18 | 43.2% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.16 | 25.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.21 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.22 | 37.4% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.17 | 31.3% | +37.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.18 | 78.8% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.27 | 31.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 19.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.02 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:43 | 1.21 | 79.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.05 | 79.4% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:37 | 0.40 | 35.1% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.07 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 32.8% | +44.3 |
| O | 39 | 34 | 5 | .872 | 3.98 | −1.0 | 65:00 |