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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 1, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Winnipeg Jets 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Away

Winnipeg Jets

5

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Barron, saved by Woll
  3. P1 2:12Shot by Perfetti, saved by Woll
  4. P1 2:35Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Woll
  5. P1 3:43Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Comrie
  6. P1 3:47Ekman-Larsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz · WPG Scheifele, Miller, Connor, Stanley, Vilardi

  7. P1 4:53Shot by Scheifele, saved by Woll4v5
  8. P1 5:17Shot by Knies, saved by Comrie4v5
  9. P1 6:30Shot by Roy, saved by Comrie
  10. P1 7:41Shot by McMann, saved by Comrie
  11. P1 8:02Shot by Stanley, saved by Woll
  12. P1 9:03Shot by Nyquist, saved by Woll
  13. P1 12:14Shot by Koepke, saved by Woll
  14. P1 12:42Shot by Robertson, saved by Comrie
  15. P1 13:07Shot by Stecher, saved by Comrie
  16. P1 14:09Goal by Vilardi (Scheifele, Connor)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi, Pionk

  17. P1 15:42Shot by Koepke, saved by Woll
  18. P1 17:12Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Comrie
  19. P1 17:38Goal by DeMelo (Lowry, Barron)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Myers, Matthews, Robertson, McMann · WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Pearson, Samberg, Barron

  20. P1 19:14Shot by Scheifele, saved by Woll
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:28Shot by Barron, saved by Woll
  24. P2 0:30Shot by Lowry, saved by Woll
  25. P2 1:10Shot by McMann, saved by Comrie
  26. P2 1:34Goal by Matthews (Domi, Ekman-Larsson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Myers, Matthews, McMann · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi, Pionk

  27. P2 2:01Shot by Iafallo, saved by Woll
  28. P2 2:11Goal by Iafallo (Toews, Perfetti)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Myers, Maccelli, Knies · WPG Toews, Miller, Stanley, Iafallo, Perfetti

  29. P2 2:38Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Woll
  30. P2 3:37Shot by Laughton, saved by Comrie
  31. P2 3:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Comrie
  32. P2 5:24Goal by Scheifele (Vilardi, Pionk)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Laughton, Myers, Maccelli, Knies · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi, Pionk

  33. P2 5:34Shot by Cowan, saved by Comrie
  34. P2 7:30Shot by Perfetti, saved by Hildeby
  35. P2 8:27Shot by Scheifele, saved by Hildeby
  36. P2 8:53Shot by Tavares, saved by Comrie
  37. P2 11:04Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Laughton)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi, Pionk

  38. P2 12:12Shot by DeMelo, saved by Hildeby
  39. P2 13:03Shot by Pearson, saved by Hildeby
  40. P2 13:43Shot by Knies, saved by Comrie
  41. P2 14:37Shot by Pearson, saved by Hildeby
  42. P2 15:22Shot by Connor, saved by Hildeby
  43. P2 15:36Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Comrie
  44. P2 16:09Shot by Cowan, saved by Comrie
  45. P2 17:26Shot by Koepke, saved by Hildeby
  46. P2 17:55Shot by Perfetti, saved by Hildeby
  47. P2 18:31Shot by Lowry, saved by Hildeby
  48. P2 18:40Shot by Perfetti, saved by Hildeby
  49. P2 18:53Pionk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Benoit, Maccelli, Knies · WPG Lowry, Pearson, Morrissey, Pionk, Barron

  50. P2 19:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Comrie5v4
  51. P2 19:20Shot by Koepke, saved by Hildeby5v4
  52. P2 19:57Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Maccelli)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Matthews, Maccelli, Knies · WPG Nyquist, DeMelo, Lowry, Samberg

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:40Shot by Morrissey, saved by Hildeby
  56. P3 2:30Shot by Cowan, saved by Comrie
  57. P3 3:55Shot by Knies, saved by Comrie
  58. P3 4:05Shot by Knies, saved by Comrie
  59. P3 4:51Shot by Perfetti, saved by Hildeby
  60. P3 6:30Goal by Maccelli (Knies, Tavares)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Myers, Maccelli, Knies · WPG Nyquist, Namestnikov, Morrissey, Pionk, Koepke

  61. P3 7:13Domi: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Benoit, McMann · WPG Scheifele, Connor, Stanley, Vilardi, Perfetti

  62. P3 7:55Shot by Pionk, saved by Hildeby4v5
  63. P3 8:37Shot by Scheifele, saved by Hildeby4v5
  64. P3 8:50Goal by Scheifele (Morrissey, Nyquist)4v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Roy, Benoit · WPG Nyquist, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi

  65. P3 11:21Shot by Connor, saved by Hildeby
  66. P3 12:52Shot by Domi, saved by Comrie
  67. P3 12:58Shot by Domi, saved by Comrie
  68. P3 13:00Shot by McMann, saved by Comrie
  69. P3 13:13Goal by Stecher (McMann, Matthews)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann · WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Pearson, Samberg, Barron

  70. P3 13:54Shot by Miller, saved by Hildeby
  71. P3 14:49Shot by Scheifele, saved by Hildeby
  72. P3 14:58Shot by Domi, saved by Comrie
  73. P3 15:24Shot by Connor, saved by Hildeby
  74. P3 15:38Goal by Matthews, unassisted+44 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Matthews, Stecher, Robertson, Cowan · WPG Scheifele, Connor, Vilardi, Samberg, Pionk

  75. P3 16:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Comrie
  76. P3 18:53Shot by Vilardi, saved by Hildeby5v6
  77. P3 19:33Shot by Pionk, saved by Hildeby5v6
  78. P3 19:55Shot by Scheifele, saved by Hildeby5v6
  79. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  80. P3 0:00Final5v6