Thu, Jan 1, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Winnipeg Jets 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.
31%
8%
8%
53%
TOR winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.01 | 49.9% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.06 | 52.3% | +9.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:59 | 0.06 | 50.9% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:18 | 0.00 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 8 | 20:28 | 0.57 | 48.0% | +49.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.63 | 48.9% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:34 | 0.19 | 49.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.00 | 82.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:07 | 0.18 | 77.7% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.28 | 75.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.52 | 44.7% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.02 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.02 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.01 | 51.7% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.10 | 40.7% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:42 | 0.18 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.11 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:10 | 0.32 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 24 | 6 | .800 | 2.59 | −3.4 | 58:17 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:53 | 0.16 | 50.5% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 24:50 | 0.00 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:30 | 0.11 | 51.1% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.10 | 26.6% | +15.4 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 19:42 | 0.52 | 64.1% | +102.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:59 | 0.11 | 52.7% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:15 | 0.20 | 55.2% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:58 | 0.44 | 37.6% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.06 | 55.3% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.20 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.04 | 15.7% | +8.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.10 | 45.4% | +38.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.35 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:45 | 0.05 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:29 | 0.14 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:41 | 0.00 | 24.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 1.85 | +0.9 | 34:36 | |
| – | 17 | 13 | 4 | .765 | 1.41 | −2.6 | 25:24 |