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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 1, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Winnipeg Jets 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsWPG wins

Winnipeg Jets

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Josh MorrisseyD · #44011−1122:400.0149.9%+24.1
Neal PionkD · #4011−2222:100.0652.3%+9.2
Dylan DeMeloD · #21010221:590.0650.9%+14.4
Dylan SambergD · #54000−1021:180.0054.0%0.0
Mark ScheifeleC · #55213−1820:280.5748.0%+49.1
Gabriel VilardiC · #13112−1220:060.6348.9%+25.0
Kyle ConnorLW · #81011−1319:340.1949.5%+15.8
Jonathan ToewsC · #19011+1016:200.0082.5%+15.1
Cole PerfettiC · #91011+1516:070.1877.7%+15.1
Alex IafalloLW · #9101+1215:440.2875.5%+15.1
Adam LowryC · #170110214:370.5244.7%+14.4
Logan StanleyD · #64000+1114:270.0253.4%0.0
Colin MillerD · #6000+1114:000.0252.0%0.0
Gustav NyquistRW · #14011−1113:190.0151.7%+24.1
Morgan BarronC · #360110213:170.1040.7%+14.4
Vladislav NamestnikovC · #7000−1211:420.1846.1%0.0
Tanner PearsonLW · #700000211:410.1144.7%0.0
Cole KoepkeLW · #45000−1411:100.3252.5%0.0
Eric Comrie#1L30246.8002.59−3.458:17

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Troy StecherD · #28101+2224:530.1650.5%+28.4
Jake McCabeD · #22000+3024:500.0072.5%0.0
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #951120321:300.1151.1%+23.3
Morgan RiellyD · #44011−2121:130.1026.6%+15.4
Auston MatthewsC · #34314+2519:420.5264.1%+102.4
Bobby McMannC · #74011+1318:590.1152.7%+28.4
Simon BenoitD · #20000018:120.0049.3%0.0
Max DomiC · #11011+2317:150.2055.2%+14.9
Matthew KniesLW · #23011−1416:580.4437.6%+23.5
John TavaresC · #910110116:020.0655.3%+23.5
Nicolas RoyC · #550000114:110.2062.7%0.0
Scott LaughtonC · #24011−1113:570.0415.7%+8.4
Matias MaccelliLW · #63112−1112:580.1045.4%+38.8
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000111:550.3568.5%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #180000011:530.0018.6%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #190000111:450.0521.3%0.0
Easton CowanRW · #53000+1311:290.1464.4%0.0
Philippe MyersD · #51000−108:410.0024.2%0.0
Dennis Hildeby#35W23221.9571.85+0.934:36
Joseph Woll#60–17134.7651.41−2.625:24