Sat, Jan 3, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Tampa Bay Lightning 7, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:24Shot by Holmberg, saved by Askarov
- P1 2:06Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 2:37Goal by Point (Crozier, Kucherov)+15 pts WP
On ice: SJS Skinner, Ferraro, Dellandrea, Mukhamadullin, Regenda · TBL Kucherov, Point, Crozier, Goncalves, Carlile
- P1 3:03Shot by Ostapchuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 3:04Shot by Ostapchuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 4:08Goal by Raddysh (Kucherov, Goncalves)+12 pts WP
On ice: SJS Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Eklund, Celebrini, Chernyshov · TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves, Moser
- P1 4:44Shot by Gourde, saved by Askarov
- P1 5:06Shot by Crozier, saved by Askarov
- P1 5:45Shot by Carlile, saved by Askarov
- P1 5:45Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Askarov
- P1 5:46Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Askarov
- P1 5:47Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Askarov
- P1 6:46Goal by Hagel (Guentzel, D'Astous)+9 pts WP
On ice: SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Ostapchuk · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous
- P1 7:30Shot by Eklund, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 9:14Cernak: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Iorio, Dickinson, Graf · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous
- P1 10:30Shot by Regenda, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P1 10:46Shot by Regenda, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P1 10:50Goal by Regenda (Liljegren, Celebrini)5v4+9 pts WP
On ice: SJS Skinner, Liljegren, Regenda, Celebrini, Chernyshov · TBL Gourde, Guentzel, Crozier, Carlile
- P1 14:05Shot by Gourde, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 15:21Shot by Hagel, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 17:43Shot by Point, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 18:17Shot by Goncalves, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 18:53Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 19:03Moser: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Eklund, Iorio, Celebrini, Dickinson, Chernyshov · TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P1 19:54Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P1 0:00Period end5v4
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:13Shot by Dellandrea, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 1:21Regenda: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: SJS Skinner, Ferraro, Liljegren, Dellandrea, Regenda · TBL Kucherov, Point, D'Astous, Crozier, Goncalves
- P2 2:49Goal by Raddysh (Kucherov, Guentzel)4v5+9 pts WP
On ice: SJS Wennberg, Ferraro, Liljegren, Graf · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh
- P2 3:55Goal by James (Bjorkstrand)+5 pts WP
On ice: SJS Reaves, Orlov, Goodrow, Liljegren, Ostapchuk · TBL Bjorkstrand, Paul, Crozier, Carlile, James
- P2 9:48Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 9:50Goal by Regenda (Liljegren, Skinner)+4 pts WP
On ice: SJS Skinner, Ferraro, Liljegren, Regenda, Celebrini · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, D'Astous, Holmberg
- P2 12:36Shot by Guentzel, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P2 13:07Eklund: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Liljegren, Eklund, Celebrini, Dickinson, Chernyshov · TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 13:07Moser: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Liljegren, Eklund, Celebrini, Dickinson, Chernyshov · TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 13:07Eklund: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Liljegren, Eklund, Celebrini, Dickinson, Chernyshov · TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 13:42Shot by Kucherov, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
- P2 14:08Goal by Kucherov (Bjorkstrand, Point)4v5+3 pts WP
On ice: SJS Goodrow, Ferraro, Liljegren, Dellandrea · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh
- P2 15:39Reaves: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Ferraro, Ostapchuk, Iorio · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 15:39Reaves: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Ferraro, Ostapchuk, Iorio · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 15:39Ostapchuk: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Ferraro, Ostapchuk, Iorio · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 15:39Guentzel: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Ferraro, Ostapchuk, Iorio · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 15:39Hagel: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Ferraro, Ostapchuk, Iorio · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 15:39Goodrow: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Ferraro, Ostapchuk, Iorio · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 15:39Moser: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Ferraro, Ostapchuk, Iorio · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 15:39Goodrow: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Ferraro, Ostapchuk, Iorio · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser
- P2 16:53Goal by Raddysh (Kucherov, Paul)4v5+1 pts WP
On ice: SJS Ferraro, Liljegren, Dellandrea, Regenda · TBL Kucherov, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Point, Raddysh
- P2 17:40Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 17:42Shot by Chernyshov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 19:23Orlov: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Orlov, Skinner, Dellandrea, Regenda, Dickinson · TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, D'Astous, Goncalves
- P2 19:23Goncalves: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Orlov, Skinner, Dellandrea, Regenda, Dickinson · TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, D'Astous, Goncalves
- P2 0:00Period end4v4
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:17Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
- P3 0:30Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
- P3 2:07Shot by Girgensons, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 2:08Shot by Girgensons, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 3:17Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 5:01Shot by Dickinson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 6:13Orlov: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: SJS Orlov, Ferraro, Eklund, Celebrini, Chernyshov · TBL Gourde, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser
- P3 6:33Shot by D'Astous, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
- P3 9:00Gourde: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: SJS Liljegren, Eklund, Celebrini, Dickinson, Chernyshov · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg, Moser
- P3 9:28Shot by Eklund, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 10:18Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 11:28Shot by Holmberg, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 12:08Dickinson: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Liljegren, Dickinson, Graf · TBL Kucherov, Point, Crozier, Goncalves, Moser
- P3 12:34Shot by Paul, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
- P3 14:57Shot by Gourde, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 16:11Goal by Regenda (Skinner)0 pts WP
On ice: SJS Orlov, Skinner, Dellandrea, Iorio, Regenda · TBL Guentzel, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier, Carlile
- P3 18:52Shot by Regenda, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final