Sat, Jan 3, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Tampa Bay Lightning 7, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
27%
57%
SJS winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
SJS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | Bjorkstrand–Paul–James | Paul–Goncalves–James | Cernak–D'Astous | Crozier–Carlile | Raddysh–Moser | D'Astous–Crozier | Cernak–Moser | Raddysh–Carlile | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eklund–Celebrini–Chernyshov | 5:520.39–0.70 | 3:560.07–0.09 | 1:230.00–0.07 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 3:190.14–0.00 | 0:330.06–0.00 | 7:240.19–0.48 | 0:550.00–0.38 | 1:090.13–0.00 | ||
| Toffoli–Wennberg–Graf | 0:310.00–0.01 | 3:160.06–0.02 | 3:420.01–0.35 | 1:030.00–0.03 | 3:370.07–0.15 | 3:050.00–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 0:550.00–0.20 | |||
| Reaves–Goodrow–Ostapchuk | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.14 | 3:390.23–0.16 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 2:170.10–0.15 | 3:020.13–0.16 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||
| Skinner–Dellandrea–Regenda | 1:430.20–0.10 | 1:330.07–0.09 | 1:200.02–0.42 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:380.34–0.61 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||
| Iorio–Dickinson | 2:220.00–0.34 | 2:330.07–0.09 | 3:060.11–0.43 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:510.10–0.00 | 2:090.01–0.52 | 4:090.07–0.33 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||
| Orlov–Liljegren | 1:080.20–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 3:440.03–0.25 | 0:560.00–0.16 | 2:040.01–0.03 | 1:270.20–0.20 | 1:440.00–0.07 | 0:390.02–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||
| Orlov–Iorio | 1:220.00–0.00 | 1:100.14–0.02 | 1:300.16–0.00 | 4:170.27–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.02 | ||||||
| Ferraro–Mukhamadullin | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:340.00–0.25 | 1:020.04–0.16 | 2:120.00–0.25 | 0:570.00–0.09 | 1:150.00–0.07 | |||||
| Liljegren–Dickinson | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:250.04–0.12 | 1:140.00–0.12 | 0:340.04–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Ferraro–Liljegren | 1:240.13–0.38 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:090.13–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.38 | |||||
| Orlov–Ferraro | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:360.26–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:530.26–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Ferraro–Iorio | 0:400.00–0.44 | 1:290.06–0.00 | 1:230.06–0.44 | ||||||||
| Orlov–Dickinson | 1:020.14–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:260.14–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
SJSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
