Sat, Jan 3, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Tampa Bay Lightning 7, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
27%
57%
SJS winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 20:48 | 0.22 | 70.1% | +22.3 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.07 | 66.5% | +9.5 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.01 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:08 | 0.05 | 58.2% | 0.0 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.06 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.21 | 58.2% | +9.5 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.01 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.09 | 58.2% | +18.6 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.05 | 60.9% | +14.7 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.13 | 54.0% | +1.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.45 | 82.2% | +40.3 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:19 | 0.42 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.12 | 82.2% | +17.9 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:28 | 0.50 | 51.3% | +8.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.42 | 66.9% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.17 | 82.2% | +12.2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.58 | 66.9% | 0.0 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.16 | 51.3% | +4.8 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.78 | −0.2 | 60:00 |
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Macklin CelebriniC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24:19 | 0.54 | 37.8% | +9.1 |
 Vincent IorioD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:58 | 0.06 | 25.7% | 0.0 |
 Dmitry OrlovD · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:20 | 0.06 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
 William EklundLW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.18 | 32.6% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:39 | 0.01 | 39.9% | +12.9 |
 Mario FerraroD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 |
 Sam DickinsonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.06 | 28.4% | 0.0 |
 Alexander WennbergC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:38 | 0.10 | 15.8% | 0.0 |
 Collin GrafRW · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.06 | 14.9% | 0.0 |
 Igor ChernyshovLW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.03 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Tyler ToffoliC · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.11 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Zack OstapchukC · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:35 | 0.10 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Barclay GoodrowC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.24 | 36.4% | 0.0 |
 Ty DellandreaC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.02 | 28.6% | 0.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 9:33 | 0.19 | 43.7% | +3.9 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.10 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
 Pavol RegendaLW · #84 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 9:11 | 0.92 | 48.8% | +13.0 |
 Shakir MukhamadullinD · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 5:33 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 |
 Yaroslav Askarov#30 | – | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 1.08 | −1.9 | 6:46 |
 Alex Nedeljkovic#33 | L | 16 | 12 | 4 | .750 | 2.65 | −1.4 | 53:14 |