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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 6, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Vancouver Canucks 3, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Vancouver Canucks

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 69% of the time.

BUF winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:08Shot by Norris, saved by Demko
  3. P1 0:59Shot by Myers, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 2:01Goal by Thompson (Byram, Power)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Doan, Power · VAN Kane, Pettersson, Boeser, Sasson, Willander

  5. P1 3:21Norris: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin · VAN Myers, DeBrusk, Pettersson, Joseph, Karlsson

  6. P1 3:37Shot by Sherwood, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  7. P1 3:38Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  8. P1 3:41Shot by Pettersson, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  9. P1 4:34Shot by Sherwood, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  10. P1 4:35Shot by Sherwood, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  11. P1 4:39Shot by Boeser, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  12. P1 5:14Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  13. P1 8:15Shot by Byram, saved by Demko
  14. P1 8:25Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Demko
  15. P1 8:55Shot by Räty, saved by Luukkonen
  16. P1 10:17Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 10:27Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 10:49Byram: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Benson · VAN Kane, Boeser, Hronek, Sasson, Buium

  19. P1 11:24Goal by McLeod (Tuch, Samuelsson)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Power · VAN Boeser, DeBrusk, Pettersson, Sherwood, Willander

  20. P1 14:59Shot by Hronek, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P1 15:12Shot by Tuch, saved by Demko
  22. P1 15:14Shot by Power, saved by Demko
  23. P1 15:48Shot by Benson, saved by Demko
  24. P1 16:40Shot by Sasson, saved by Luukkonen
  25. P1 17:13Shot by Byram, saved by Demko
  26. P1 17:29Shot by Ohgren, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P1 19:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:15Shot by Pettersson, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 1:16Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 2:14Shot by Quinn, saved by Demko
  33. P2 3:11Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 3:15Shot by Ohgren, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 5:09Willander: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Norris, Byram · VAN Kane, Pettersson, Boeser, Sasson, Willander

  36. P2 5:35Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  37. P2 8:43Shot by Bryson, saved by Demko
  38. P2 9:37Goal by Tuch (Byram, Norris)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram · VAN Myers, Joseph, Kampf, Sherwood, O'Connor

  39. P2 10:11Shot by Benson, saved by Demko
  40. P2 12:28Shot by Tuch, saved by Demko
  41. P2 13:18Shot by Doan, saved by Demko
  42. P2 15:18Shot by Willander, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 16:23Shot by Quinn, saved by Demko
  44. P2 17:25Shot by Myers, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 19:59Shot by Buium, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 5:06Shot by Ohgren, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P3 5:31Shot by Ostlund, saved by Demko
  50. P3 6:02Shot by Ostlund, saved by Demko
  51. P3 6:13Goal by Metsa (Malenstyn, Greenway)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Bryson, Ostlund, Metsa · VAN Myers, Kane, Boeser, Pettersson, Joseph

  52. P3 8:26Thompson: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs, Doan, Power · VAN DeBrusk, Hronek, Joseph, Kampf, Karlsson

  53. P3 8:31Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  54. P3 10:14Shot by Sherwood, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  55. P3 10:17Goal by DeBrusk (Sherwood, Boeser)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Dahlin, Power · VAN Boeser, DeBrusk, Pettersson, Sherwood, Willander

  56. P3 11:23Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  57. P3 11:25Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  58. P3 14:50Shot by Sherwood, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 15:16Goal by Pettersson (Boeser, Hronek)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Power, Benson · VAN Kane, Boeser, Hronek, Pettersson, Joseph

  60. P3 15:55Goal by Ohgren (Pettersson, Karlsson)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Byram, Ostlund · VAN Pettersson, Karlsson, Ohgren, Sasson, Willander

  61. P3 18:36Goal by Doan, unassisted5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Doan · VAN Kane, Boeser, DeBrusk, Hronek, Pettersson, Buium

  62. P3 19:04Shot by Sasson, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  63. P3 19:11Shot by Sherwood, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  64. P3 19:22Shot by Boeser, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  65. P3 19:24Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  66. P3 19:30Shot by Boeser, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  67. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  68. P3 0:00Final5v6