Tue, Jan 6, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Vancouver Canucks 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 69% of the time.
23%
62%
BUF winsVAN wins
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:20 | 0.01 | 54.2% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.08 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 18:41 | 0.32 | 51.8% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.00 | 27.1% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −3 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.38 | 52.7% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.72 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 17:37 | 0.61 | 27.4% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 16:58 | 0.65 | 34.9% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.03 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.04 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.04 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:25 | 0.29 | 47.8% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.18 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:09 | 0.21 | 35.4% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:23 | 0.30 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.12 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.03 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 2.17 | −1.8 | 58:51 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:36 | 0.02 | 59.1% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 24:29 | 0.09 | 63.6% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:09 | 0.19 | 58.8% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.21 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:42 | 0.39 | 64.4% | +20.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.63 | 64.3% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.47 | 65.0% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.02 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.20 | 32.9% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.02 | 49.3% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.16 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.07 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.11 | 52.6% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.06 | 54.8% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0.03 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:59 | 0.06 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.01 | 60.0% | +1.2 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 4.01 | +1.0 | 60:00 |