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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 6, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Florida Panthers 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Florida Panthers

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:38Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  3. P1 2:20Shot by Myers, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 4:17Shot by Myers, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 5:24Rodrigues: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Carlo, Roy, Robertson, Cowan · FLA Petry, Greer, Rodrigues, Sebrango, Samoskevich

  6. P1 5:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  7. P1 5:52Shot by Lundell, saved by Woll5v4
  8. P1 5:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  9. P1 7:14Shot by Robertson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  10. P1 9:25Shot by McMann, saved by Bobrovsky
  11. P1 11:14Cowan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Carlo, Roy, Robertson, Cowan · FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Mikkola, Balinskis

  12. P1 13:16Shot by Mikkola, saved by Woll
  13. P1 14:21Domi: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann · FLA Ekblad, Bennett, Greer, Luostarinen, Balinskis

  14. P1 14:21Ekblad: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann · FLA Ekblad, Bennett, Greer, Luostarinen, Balinskis

  15. P1 15:38Shot by Mikkola, saved by Woll
  16. P1 17:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 19:36Goal by Cowan (Robertson, Roy)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Roy, Benoit, Robertson, Cowan · FLA Petry, Greer, Rodrigues, Samoskevich, Balinskis

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:42Goal by Knies (Stecher, Tavares)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Stecher, Maccelli, Knies · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  21. P2 2:30Shot by Forsling, saved by Woll
  22. P2 2:51Shot by Lorentz, saved by Bobrovsky
  23. P2 3:26Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P2 3:38Shot by Stecher, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P2 4:01Goal by Matthews (Knies, Maccelli)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Carlo, Matthews, Maccelli, Knies · FLA Reinhart, Forsling, Mikkola, Luostarinen, Lundell

  26. P2 4:15Shot by Marchand, saved by Woll
  27. P2 4:43Shot by Benoit, saved by Bobrovsky
  28. P2 6:19Shot by Lorentz, saved by Bobrovsky
  29. P2 10:32Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  30. P2 10:41Shot by Greer, saved by Woll
  31. P2 11:09Shot by Bennett, saved by Woll
  32. P2 11:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky
  33. P2 13:53Shot by Kunin, saved by Woll
  34. P2 14:28Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Bobrovsky
  35. P2 14:41Shot by Reinhart, saved by Woll
  36. P2 15:04Shot by Reinhart, saved by Woll
  37. P2 17:06Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Woll
  38. P2 19:59Rielly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Carlo, Maccelli, Knies · FLA Greer, Luostarinen, Lundell, Sebrango, Balinskis

  39. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 1:13Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Woll4v5
  42. P3 1:23Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Woll4v5
  43. P3 1:26Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Woll4v5
  44. P3 1:59Shot by Forsling, saved by Woll
  45. P3 2:15Myers: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Domi, Myers, Matthews, Benoit, McMann · FLA Mikkola, Kunin, Gregor, Boqvist, Balinskis

  46. P3 3:55Shot by Lorentz, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  47. P3 4:38Shot by Gregor, saved by Woll
  48. P3 4:42Shot by Boqvist, saved by Woll
  49. P3 5:02Shot by Balinskis, saved by Woll
  50. P3 5:08Shot by Kunin, saved by Woll
  51. P3 5:40Shot by Greer, saved by Woll
  52. P3 6:05Sebrango: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Carlo, Matthews, McMann · FLA Petry, Reinhart, Luostarinen, Lundell, Sebrango

  53. P3 6:17Shot by Maccelli, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  54. P3 7:15Shot by Maccelli, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  55. P3 8:40Shot by Benoit, saved by Bobrovsky
  56. P3 11:38Goal by Verhaeghe, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Greer, Mikkola

  57. P3 12:04Shot by Lorentz, saved by Bobrovsky
  58. P3 14:23Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Woll
  59. P3 15:57Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Woll
  60. P3 16:06Shot by Lundell, saved by Woll5v6
  61. P3 16:07Shot by Bennett, saved by Woll5v6
  62. P3 16:29Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll5v6
  63. P3 18:45Shot by Reinhart, saved by Woll5v6
  64. P3 19:20Shot by Forsling, saved by Woll5v6
  65. P3 19:29Shot by Lundell, saved by Woll5v6
  66. P3 19:42Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll5v6
  67. P3 19:52Goal by McMann (Roy)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Carlo, Roy, Matthews, McMann · FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Bennett, Forsling, Rodrigues, Lundell

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final