Tue, Jan 6, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Florida Panthers 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
65%
20%
TOR winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 24:43 | 0.10 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 22:44 | 0.22 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:56 | 0.33 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.31 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.16 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:05 | 0.09 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:02 | 0.20 | 38.8% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.07 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.02 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.17 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.21 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.08 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.34 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.04 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.04 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.10 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:51 | 0.03 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:40 | 0.03 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.84 | −0.2 | 56:06 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:09 | 0.04 | 62.2% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:09 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.10 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:48 | 0.78 | 62.1% | +7.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.85 | 47.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.32 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.04 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.00 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.09 | 64.5% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.39 | 56.0% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 54.5% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.01 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:05 | 0.63 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.09 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.15 | 64.5% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.16 | 66.5% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.27 | 68.1% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.02 | 76.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.55 | +1.5 | 60:00 |