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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 6, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Florida Panthers 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Florida Panthers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Gustav ForslingD · #42000−3324:430.1020.2%0.0
Sam ReinhartC · #13000−3322:440.2212.3%0.0
Anton LundellC · #15000−3321:560.3314.5%0.0
Sam BennettC · #90000221:150.3138.2%0.0
Aaron EkbladD · #50000020:160.1634.8%0.0
Evan RodriguesC · #17000−2420:050.0937.1%0.0
Carter VerhaegheC · #231010220:020.2038.8%+2.6
Jeff PetryD · #2000−1019:140.0732.1%0.0
Niko MikkolaD · #770000218:510.0251.0%0.0
Eetu LuostarinenC · #27000−2216:590.1718.9%0.0
Uvis BalinskisD · #26000−1116:580.2147.7%0.0
Mackie SamoskevichRW · #11000−1314:390.0850.9%0.0
A.J. GreerLW · #100000214:040.3448.1%0.0
Donovan SebrangoD · #60000012:130.0438.7%0.0
Brad MarchandLW · #630000111:410.0427.4%0.0
Jesper BoqvistC · #70000019:430.1060.7%0.0
Luke KuninC · #71000028:510.0370.1%0.0
Noah GregorLW · #18000015:400.0366.3%0.0
Sergei Bobrovsky#72L22193.8642.84−0.256:06

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Troy StecherD · #280110124:090.0462.2%+13.4
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95000+1023:090.0035.1%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44000+2019:500.1076.6%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34101+1419:480.7862.1%+7.6
Bobby McMannC · #741010219:140.8547.4%+0.1
Simon BenoitD · #2000+1218:000.3259.7%0.0
Scott LaughtonC · #240000017:520.0473.3%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #25000+2017:410.0071.8%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23112+2115:590.0964.5%+21.0
John TavaresC · #91011+1214:570.3956.0%+13.4
Nicolas RoyC · #55022+2014:510.0054.5%+19.9
Max DomiC · #11000−1014:250.0136.8%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #180000414:050.6376.2%0.0
Philippe MyersD · #510000213:430.0963.9%0.0
Matias MaccelliLW · #63011+2212:450.1564.5%+7.6
Nick RobertsonLW · #89011+1112:010.1666.5%+19.8
Easton CowanRW · #53101+1111:150.2768.1%+19.8
Calle JarnkrokC · #190000110:160.0276.2%0.0
Joseph Woll#60W32311.9692.55+1.560:00