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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 8, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 5, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:47Shot by Raddysh, saved by Ellis
  3. P1 4:07Goal by Doan (Samuelsson, Zucker)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Borgen, Robertson, Cuylle · BUF Zucker, Norris, Bryson, Samuelsson, Doan

  4. P1 6:27Shot by Cuylle, saved by Ellis
  5. P1 9:26Shot by Benson, saved by Quick
  6. P1 11:12Shot by Zucker, saved by Quick
  7. P1 13:14Shot by Robertson, saved by Ellis
  8. P1 14:18Shot by Dahlin, saved by Quick
  9. P1 15:47Shot by Perreault, saved by Ellis
  10. P1 16:01Shot by Schneider, saved by Ellis
  11. P1 16:10Shot by Carrick, saved by Ellis
  12. P1 16:57Shot by Cuylle, saved by Ellis
  13. P1 0:00Period end
  14. P2 0:00Period start
  15. P2 0:33Shot by Panarin, saved by Ellis
  16. P2 0:34Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ellis
  17. P2 1:37Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Ellis
  18. P2 3:03Shot by Norris, saved by Quick
  19. P2 6:39Shot by Krebs, saved by Quick
  20. P2 6:58Goal by Tuch (Byram, Norris)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider, Cuylle · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Norris, Byram, Power

  21. P2 6:58Trocheck: Abuse of officials (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider, Cuylle · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Norris, Byram, Power

  22. P2 8:05Shot by Dahlin, saved by Quick4v5
  23. P2 8:06Shot by Doan, saved by Quick4v5
  24. P2 8:53Shot by Quinn, saved by Quick4v5
  25. P2 9:34Goal by Zibanejad (Panarin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Soucy, Panarin, Cuylle, Morrow · BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs

  26. P2 11:21Shot by Zucker, saved by Quick
  27. P2 11:53Robertson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Blidh, Borgen, Robertson, Rempe · BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, Benson

  28. P2 12:06Shot by Thompson, saved by Quick4v5
  29. P2 12:32Shot by Dahlin, saved by Quick4v5
  30. P2 12:34Goal by Zucker (Dahlin, Thompson)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Gavrikov, Schneider, Cuylle · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Doan

  31. P2 13:07Shot by Quinn, saved by Quick
  32. P2 13:29Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 13:32Shot by Perreault, saved by Ellis
  34. P2 13:33Shot by Miller, saved by Ellis
  35. P2 14:08Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Ellis
  36. P2 15:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Quick
  37. P2 16:44Shot by McLeod, saved by Quick
  38. P2 17:01Shot by Metsa, saved by Quick
  39. P2 18:28Ostlund: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Borgen, Robertson, Cuylle · BUF Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Ostlund

  40. P2 18:37Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ellis5v4
  41. P2 18:41Shot by Miller, saved by Ellis5v4
  42. P2 19:35Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Ellis5v4
  43. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:51Goal by Trocheck (Miller, Panarin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Robertson, Schneider · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs, Doan, Power

  46. P3 3:33Shot by Robertson, saved by Ellis
  47. P3 4:30Shot by Schneider, saved by Ellis
  48. P3 4:42Shot by Panarin, saved by Ellis
  49. P3 6:44Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Ellis
  50. P3 6:58Shot by Rempe, saved by Ellis
  51. P3 7:26Shot by Miller, saved by Ellis
  52. P3 8:07Shot by Cuylle, saved by Ellis
  53. P3 8:14Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ellis
  54. P3 9:33Shot by Quinn, saved by Quick
  55. P3 10:39Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Ellis
  56. P3 14:24Krebs: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Miller, Gavrikov, Schneider, Lafrenière · BUF Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Doan, Power

  57. P3 14:38Goal by Samuelsson (McLeod)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Gavrikov, Lafrenière · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram

  58. P3 15:36Shot by Panarin, saved by Ellis5v4
  59. P3 17:13Shot by Panarin, saved by Ellis6v4
  60. P3 18:12Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Ellis6v4
  61. P3 18:20Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ellis6v4
  62. P3 18:30Goal by McLeod, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Gavrikov, Lafrenière · BUF Greenway, McLeod, Krebs, Byram, Power

  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final