Thu, Jan 8, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York
Buffalo Sabres 5, New York Rangers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
21%
66%
NYR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 23:56 | 0.07 | 59.0% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 23:45 | 0.01 | 47.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 23:41 | 0.15 | 45.6% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:15 | 0.01 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:30 | 1.21 | 91.9% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.18 | 62.4% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.52 | 61.2% | +14.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.36 | 61.3% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.11 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:00 | 0.55 | 67.8% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.63 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.11 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.16 | 60.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.02 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.09 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 65.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.76 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 24:37 | 0.21 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:19 | 0.14 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −3 | 4 | 20:53 | 0.25 | 41.4% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.55 | 70.6% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.31 | 51.2% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.23 | 54.8% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.01 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:08 | 0.01 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.04 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:34 | 0.26 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.06 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.23 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.09 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.07 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.15 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.15 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:35 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 3.10 | −0.9 | 58:25 |