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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 8, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Ottawa Senators 2, Colorado Avalanche 8

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 64% of the time.

COL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Malinski, saved by Meriläinen
  3. P1 1:07Shot by Sanderson, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 1:15Shot by Cozens, saved by Wedgewood
  5. P1 2:04Manson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Bardakov, Ivan, Brindley · OTT Eller, Cousins, Zetterlund, Kleven, Matinpalo

  6. P1 2:04Kleven: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Bardakov, Ivan, Brindley · OTT Eller, Cousins, Zetterlund, Kleven, Matinpalo

  7. P1 2:17Shot by Burns, saved by Meriläinen
  8. P1 2:31Shot by Burns, saved by Meriläinen
  9. P1 3:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wedgewood
  10. P1 4:47Shot by Drury, saved by Meriläinen
  11. P1 5:15Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Meriläinen
  12. P1 5:18Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Meriläinen
  13. P1 6:01Shot by Necas, saved by Meriläinen
  14. P1 6:17Shot by Colton, saved by Meriläinen
  15. P1 10:11Goal by Manson (Colton, Nelson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton, Solovyov · OTT Amadio, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  16. P1 10:49Shot by Spence, saved by Wedgewood
  17. P1 12:04Shot by Spence, saved by Wedgewood
  18. P1 12:06Shot by Giroux, saved by Wedgewood
  19. P1 14:16Shot by Sanderson, saved by Wedgewood
  20. P1 16:55Shot by Greig, saved by Wedgewood
  21. P1 16:56Shot by Greig, saved by Wedgewood
  22. P1 17:14Goal by MacKinnon (Necas, Malinski)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski · OTT Giroux, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  23. P1 17:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wedgewood
  24. P1 18:32Girard: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Olofsson, Girard, Kelly, Drury, Solovyov · OTT Eller, Cousins, Chabot, Zetterlund, Spence

  25. P1 19:33Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  26. P1 19:47Shot by Drury, saved by Meriläinen4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:19Manson: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Tkachuk, Spence, Stützle

  30. P2 2:12Shot by Chabot, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  31. P2 2:35Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Manson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · OTT Cousins, Chabot, Pinto, Greig, Zub

  32. P2 4:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sogaard
  33. P2 5:08Goal by Pinto (Giroux, Sanderson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski · OTT Zetterlund, Pinto, Greig, Kleven, Matinpalo

  34. P2 5:21Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wedgewood
  35. P2 5:43Shot by Batherson, saved by Wedgewood
  36. P2 5:46Shot by Batherson, saved by Wedgewood
  37. P2 5:59Shot by Cozens, saved by Wedgewood
  38. P2 6:01Shot by Colton, saved by Sogaard
  39. P2 6:17Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Sogaard
  40. P2 6:50Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Wedgewood
  41. P2 7:38Shot by Kelly, saved by Sogaard
  42. P2 7:47Shot by Colton, saved by Sogaard
  43. P2 8:05Shot by Colton, saved by Sogaard
  44. P2 8:16Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Sogaard
  45. P2 9:00Shot by Pinto, saved by Wedgewood
  46. P2 9:34Shot by Spence, saved by Wedgewood
  47. P2 10:23Shot by Kelly, saved by Sogaard
  48. P2 11:02Amadio: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Olofsson, Girard, Makar, Kelly, Drury · OTT Amadio, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  49. P2 11:46Goal by Necas (MacKinnon, Makar)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · OTT Giroux, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  50. P2 12:03Goal by Burns (Manson, Colton)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton, Ivan · OTT Perron, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Spence

  51. P2 13:43Tkachuk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Kelly · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  52. P2 13:52Pinto: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · OTT Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  53. P2 14:23Goal by Nelson (MacKinnon, Makar)5v3+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · OTT Giroux, Sanderson, Zub

  54. P2 14:42Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Sogaard5v4
  55. P2 15:27Shot by Burns, saved by Sogaard5v4
  56. P2 16:48Goal by Manson (Drury, Bardakov)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Necas, Drury, Bardakov · OTT Eller, Cousins, Chabot, Zetterlund, Spence

  57. P2 17:04Shot by Perron, saved by Wedgewood
  58. P2 17:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sogaard
  59. P2 18:04Goal by Nelson (Solovyov, Colton)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Colton, Necas, Solovyov · OTT Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo

  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 2:33Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wedgewood
  63. P3 3:04Girard: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Bardakov, Ivan, Brindley · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  64. P3 3:04Girard: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Bardakov, Ivan, Brindley · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  65. P3 3:04Stützle: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Bardakov, Ivan, Brindley · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  66. P3 4:01Shot by Chabot, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  67. P3 5:08Shot by Spence, saved by Wedgewood
  68. P3 5:50Shot by Eller, saved by Wedgewood
  69. P3 5:55Pinto: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Colton, Makar, Ivan, Brindley · OTT Eller, Zetterlund, Pinto, Kleven, Matinpalo

  70. P3 6:59Shot by Kleven, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  71. P3 7:03Goal by Tkachuk (Kleven)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · OTT Tkachuk, Greig, Kleven, Matinpalo

  72. P3 11:26Shot by Burns, saved by Meriläinen
  73. P3 11:49Cousins: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Solovyov, Bardakov, Ivan, Brindley · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo

  74. P3 11:49Cousins: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Solovyov, Bardakov, Ivan, Brindley · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo

  75. P3 11:56Shot by Manson, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  76. P3 12:51Shot by Manson, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  77. P3 13:12Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  78. P3 13:48Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  79. P3 13:59Greig: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Makar · OTT Perron, Pinto, Greig, Kleven, Matinpalo

  80. P3 13:59Greig: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Makar · OTT Perron, Pinto, Greig, Kleven, Matinpalo

  81. P3 14:42Shot by Manson, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  82. P3 16:18Shot by Cozens, saved by Wedgewood
  83. P3 16:21Shot by Batherson, saved by Wedgewood
  84. P3 18:27Shot by Pinto, saved by Wedgewood
  85. P3 18:34Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wedgewood
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final