Thu, Jan 8, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Ottawa Senators 2, Colorado Avalanche 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 64% of the time.
55%
9%
9%
28%
COL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.02 | 46.3% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.05 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.02 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.07 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.31 | 59.2% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.07 | 55.6% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:20 | 0.03 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.24 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.29 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 15:04 | 0.42 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:02 | 0.40 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.01 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.06 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.16 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.11 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 9.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.75 | −1.2 | 42:35 | |
| – | 16 | 11 | 5 | .688 | 1.28 | −3.7 | 17:25 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 20:23 | 0.17 | 46.9% | +2.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.04 | 48.4% | +14.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 5 | 19:25 | 0.14 | 22.1% | +25.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.18 | 51.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.00 | 90.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 48.3% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17:14 | 0.43 | 49.9% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:14 | 0.58 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.30 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.05 | 38.6% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.10 | 59.8% | +0.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.20 | 44.1% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 15:14 | 0.60 | 40.8% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.13 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 89.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.07 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.00 | 34.1% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:37 | 0.05 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.26 | +0.3 | 60:00 |