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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 15, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Montréal Canadiens 3, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Montréal Canadiens

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.

BUF winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Fowler
  3. P1 3:09Shot by Caufield, saved by Ellis
  4. P1 3:11Goal by Caufield (Dobson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Benson · MTL Carrier, Suzuki, Texier, Caufield, Hutson

  5. P1 3:20Shot by Power, saved by Fowler
  6. P1 3:46Hutson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Byram, Power, Kozak · MTL Carrier, Suzuki, Texier, Caufield, Hutson

  7. P1 4:05Goal by Thompson (Ostlund, Zucker)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Doan, Ostlund · MTL Danault, Matheson, Anderson, Carrier

  8. P1 4:23Shot by Demidov, saved by Ellis
  9. P1 5:33Shot by Metsa, saved by Fowler
  10. P1 6:46Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Fowler
  11. P1 7:07Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Fowler
  12. P1 8:00Shot by Quinn, saved by Fowler
  13. P1 8:49Shot by Ostlund, saved by Fowler
  14. P1 8:55Shot by Byram, saved by Fowler
  15. P1 9:21Guhle: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Doan, Power, Ostlund · MTL Danault, Anderson, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj

  16. P1 10:30Goal by Doan (Thompson, Ostlund)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Doan, Ostlund · MTL Danault, Matheson, Anderson, Dobson

  17. P1 11:13Shot by Texier, saved by Ellis
  18. P1 12:13Shot by Gallagher, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 12:20Shot by Gallagher, saved by Ellis
  20. P1 12:50Benson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Benson, Metsa · MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Blais, Veleno, Dobson

  21. P1 13:46Byram: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Byram · MTL Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov

  22. P1 14:20Goal by Demidov (Hutson, Suzuki)3v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Power · MTL Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov

  23. P1 16:23Shot by Benson, saved by Fowler
  24. P1 18:57Shot by Ostlund, saved by Fowler
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:30Shot by Suzuki, saved by Ellis
  28. P2 2:32Bryson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Krebs, Doan, Ostlund, Metsa · MTL Anderson, Veleno, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj

  29. P2 3:03Shot by Hutson, saved by Ellis4v5
  30. P2 3:05Goal by Suzuki (Hutson, Caufield)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram · MTL Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov

  31. P2 3:24Shot by Kozak, saved by Fowler
  32. P2 3:35Shot by Power, saved by Fowler
  33. P2 6:20Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Fowler
  34. P2 8:02Shot by Power, saved by Fowler
  35. P2 8:55Goal by Tuch (Thompson, Dahlin)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Benson · MTL Carrier, Suzuki, Texier, Dobson, Caufield

  36. P2 9:30Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Fowler
  37. P2 9:56Shot by Blais, saved by Ellis
  38. P2 9:57Shot by Blais, saved by Ellis
  39. P2 10:20Byram: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Doan · MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Texier, Dobson, Caufield

  40. P2 10:20Matheson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Doan · MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Texier, Dobson, Caufield

  41. P2 11:03Shot by Dahlin, saved by Fowler4v4
  42. P2 11:27Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ellis4v4
  43. P2 11:47Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Ellis4v4
  44. P2 11:55Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Fowler4v4
  45. P2 13:01Shot by Benson, saved by Fowler
  46. P2 15:12Shot by Caufield, saved by Ellis
  47. P2 16:57Shot by McLeod, saved by Fowler
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:22Shot by Texier, saved by Ellis
  51. P3 0:37Danault: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · MTL Danault, Anderson, Carrier, Bolduc, Hutson

  52. P3 1:04Shot by Ostlund, saved by Fowler5v4
  53. P3 1:40Shot by Dahlin, saved by Fowler5v4
  54. P3 3:35Shot by Kozak, saved by Fowler
  55. P3 3:58Shot by Demidov, saved by Ellis
  56. P3 5:12Goal by Thompson (Doan)+34 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Doan, Metsa · MTL Danault, Anderson, Carrier, Bolduc, Hutson

  57. P3 5:57Shot by Caufield, saved by Ellis
  58. P3 6:50Shot by Gallagher, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 7:08Greenway: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Kozak · MTL Gallagher, Blais, Veleno, Xhekaj, Hutson

  60. P3 7:08Gallagher: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Kozak · MTL Gallagher, Blais, Veleno, Xhekaj, Hutson

  61. P3 8:39Kapanen: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson · MTL Matheson, Dobson, Kapanen, Slafkovský

  62. P3 10:47Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ellis
  63. P3 10:56Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ellis
  64. P3 13:50Shot by Texier, saved by Ellis
  65. P3 18:20Goal by Thompson (Benson)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Byram, Benson · MTL Danault, Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov

  66. P3 19:55Shot by Caufield, saved by Ellis5v6
  67. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  68. P3 0:00Final5v6