Thu, Jan 15, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.
46%
9%
10%
35%
BUF winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Suzuki–Texier–Caufield | Kapanen–Slafkovský–Demidov | Danault–Anderson–Bolduc | Gallagher–Blais–Veleno | Gallagher–Danault–Bolduc | Suzuki–Slafkovský–Demidov | Matheson–Dobson | Carrier–Hutson | Guhle–Xhekaj | Dobson–Hutson | Xhekaj–Hutson | Guhle–Hutson | Carrier–Guhle | Matheson–Carrier | Matheson–Guhle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Benson | 5:050.36–0.37 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.36 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 5:550.27–0.49 | 1:480.00–0.16 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Krebs–Doan–Ostlund | 1:420.08–0.07 | 0:430.02–0.04 | 4:050.02–0.07 | 2:210.09–0.18 | 2:030.13–0.00 | 1:290.02–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | 2:550.00–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 1:490.05–0.00 | 2:110.05–0.00 | 2:060.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.09 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:490.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Greenway–Malenstyn–Kozak | 1:510.01–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 0:480.13–0.00 | 1:130.20–0.00 | 0:480.02–0.03 | 1:180.06–0.00 | 2:390.14–0.00 | 1:250.15–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||
| McLeod–Quinn–Doan | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:350.19–0.00 | 1:030.24–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| McLeod–Quinn–Benson | 0:320.00–0.09 | 0:360.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Byram–Power | 1:500.07–0.30 | 3:480.00–0.00 | 1:180.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:360.07–0.07 | 4:290.01–0.00 | 1:060.02–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 4:410.22–0.37 | 1:050.00–0.13 | 1:340.05–0.02 | 4:050.11–0.27 | 1:130.05–0.12 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.09 | ||||||||
| Samuelsson–Byram | 1:390.05–0.09 | 2:050.00–0.06 | 2:490.13–0.07 | 0:570.14–0.27 | 1:510.05–0.07 | 1:510.14–0.00 | 2:150.13–0.33 | 1:080.00–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 1:500.16–0.05 | 1:460.06–0.35 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:580.24–0.39 | 1:140.00–0.05 | 0:300.09–0.05 | |||||||||
| Bryson–Metsa | 1:550.01–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:350.13–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.04 | 0:350.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Byram–Metsa | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | |||||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 0:340.19–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 33 | 27:39 | 0:50 | 2:28 | 8 | 2 |
 Lane HutsonMTL | 28 | 25:55 | 0:56 | 2:07 | 5 | 2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 32 | 25:24 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 2 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 33 | 25:05 | 0:46 | 1:49 | 4 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 30 | 23:04 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 5 | 4 |
 Mike MathesonMTL | 26 | 22:32 | 0:52 | 2:37 | 1 | 6 |
 Nick SuzukiMTL | 24 | 22:17 | 0:56 | 2:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Noah DobsonMTL | 26 | 21:39 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 2 | 2 |
 Alexandre CarrierMTL | 23 | 21:00 | 0:55 | 2:02 | 2 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 25 | 20:43 | 0:50 | 2:37 | 7 | 1 |
 Cole CaufieldMTL | 21 | 19:17 | 0:55 | 2:14 | 4 | 1 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 18:44 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 5 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 26 | 18:29 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 2 | 4 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 20 | 18:14 | 0:55 | 2:07 | 4 | 1 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 19 | 17:21 | 0:55 | 2:05 | 5 | 1 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 16:55 | 0:53 | 2:03 | 4 | 1 |
 Ivan DemidovMTL | 19 | 16:10 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 4 | 0 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 24 | 16:06 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 5 | 1 |
 Oliver KapanenMTL | 20 | 16:02 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Phillip DanaultMTL | 20 | 14:58 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 2 | 6 |
 Kaiden GuhleMTL | 18 | 14:56 | 0:50 | 1:09 | 0 | 3 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 15 | 14:27 | 0:58 | 2:32 | 5 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 19 | 14:21 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Alexandre TexierMTL | 17 | 13:45 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 |
 Josh AndersonMTL | 18 | 13:27 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 1 | 5 |
 Zachary BolducMTL | 17 | 12:04 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 3 | 3 |
 Joseph VelenoMTL | 17 | 11:12 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 0 | 4 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 19 | 11:10 | 0:35 | 1:01 | 0 | 3 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 16 | 10:58 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 15 | 10:55 | 0:44 | 1:01 | 2 | 0 |
 Arber XhekajMTL | 13 | 10:29 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 1 | 0 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 16 | 9:22 | 0:35 | 1:18 | 1 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 15 | 8:45 | 0:35 | 1:05 | 0 | 1 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 8 | 7:38 | 0:57 | 1:46 | 0 | 0 |
 Sammy BlaisMTL | 12 | 7:29 | 0:37 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 8 | 6:02 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 0 | 1 |