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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 19, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Washington Capitals 2, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Washington Capitals

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lindgren
  3. P1 0:32Shot by Malinski, saved by Lindgren
  4. P1 1:49Solovyov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Kelly, Drury, Solovyov, Brindley · WSH Sandin, Chisholm, McMichael, Sourdif, Leonard

  5. P1 2:49Shot by Strome, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  6. P1 3:27Shot by Nelson, saved by Lindgren4v5
  7. P1 4:30Shot by Malinski, saved by Lindgren
  8. P1 4:53Shot by Protas, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 5:54Goal by Kelly (Makar, Barré-Boulet)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Girard, Makar, Kelly, Drury, Brindley · WSH Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, McMichael, Leonard

  10. P1 6:09Shot by Frank, saved by Wedgewood
  11. P1 6:56Wedgewood: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Olofsson, Girard, Colton, Malinski · WSH Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Sandin, Protas

  12. P1 7:27Goal by Chychrun (Strome, Frank)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Lehkonen · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Chychrun, Frank, Leonard

  13. P1 8:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lindgren
  14. P1 10:28Shot by Drury, saved by Lindgren
  15. P1 11:16Shot by Sourdif, saved by Wedgewood
  16. P1 11:37Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Wedgewood
  17. P1 11:38Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Wedgewood
  18. P1 11:45Shot by Chychrun, saved by Wedgewood
  19. P1 13:40Shot by Colton, saved by Lindgren
  20. P1 14:24Shot by Burns, saved by Lindgren
  21. P1 14:30Shot by Burns, saved by Lindgren
  22. P1 14:59Shot by Makar, saved by Lindgren
  23. P1 15:40Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Wedgewood
  24. P1 15:42Manson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Kelly, Solovyov, Brindley · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Dowd, Sandin, Frank

  25. P1 16:01Shot by Strome, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  26. P1 16:45Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  27. P1 17:13Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:39Shot by Burns, saved by Lindgren
  31. P2 2:50Shot by Chisholm, saved by Wedgewood
  32. P2 4:17Shot by Malinski, saved by Lindgren
  33. P2 4:18Shot by Nelson, saved by Lindgren
  34. P2 4:19Shot by Nelson, saved by Lindgren
  35. P2 4:23Chychrun: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Olofsson, Girard, Colton, Malinski · WSH Carlson, Chychrun, McMichael, Sourdif, Frank

  36. P2 5:14Shot by Makar, saved by Lindgren5v4
  37. P2 5:39Shot by Protas, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  38. P2 6:37Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lindgren5v4
  39. P2 7:03Goal by MacKinnon (Necas, Olofsson)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · WSH Beauvillier, Roy, Fehérváry, Protas

  40. P2 7:12Shot by Necas, saved by Lindgren
  41. P2 7:24Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lindgren
  42. P2 8:50Miroshnichenko: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Makar · WSH Roy, Chychrun, Fehérváry, McMichael, Sourdif

  43. P2 8:50Girard: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Makar · WSH Roy, Chychrun, Fehérváry, McMichael, Sourdif

  44. P2 8:56Shot by Protas, saved by Wedgewood4v4
  45. P2 9:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lindgren4v4
  46. P2 10:44Shot by Frank, saved by Wedgewood4v4
  47. P2 10:47Shot by Frank, saved by Wedgewood4v4
  48. P2 11:58Protas: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Olofsson, Solovyov, Bardakov · WSH Strome, Sandin, Chisholm, Protas, Miroshnichenko

  49. P2 12:19Shot by Nelson, saved by Lindgren5v4
  50. P2 15:55Shot by Manson, saved by Lindgren
  51. P2 15:58Goal by Olofsson (Manson, Nelson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Olofsson, Colton · WSH Roy, Fehérváry, McMichael, Sourdif, Leonard

  52. P2 16:15Goal by Frank (Ovechkin, Dowd)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Olofsson, Colton · WSH Ovechkin, Dowd, Roy, Fehérváry, Frank

  53. P2 17:54Shot by Manson, saved by Lindgren
  54. P2 18:08Shot by Colton, saved by Lindgren
  55. P2 18:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lindgren
  56. P2 19:24Shot by Strome, saved by Wedgewood
  57. P2 19:26Shot by Strome, saved by Wedgewood
  58. P2 19:53Shot by Chychrun, saved by Wedgewood
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:37Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lindgren
  62. P3 4:26Chychrun: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Olofsson, Girard, Colton · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Dowd, Chychrun, Frank

  63. P3 4:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lindgren5v4
  64. P3 5:01Beauvillier: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · WSH Beauvillier, Roy, Sandin, Protas

  65. P3 5:08Shot by Makar, saved by Lindgren5v3
  66. P3 5:28Nelson: Hooking (2 min)5v3

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Fehérváry

  67. P3 5:57Shot by Makar, saved by Lindgren4v3
  68. P3 6:36Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lindgren4v4
  69. P3 7:42Shot by Nelson, saved by Lindgren
  70. P3 7:48Shot by Malinski, saved by Lindgren
  71. P3 9:14Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Wedgewood
  72. P3 10:10Shot by Colton, saved by Lindgren
  73. P3 10:55Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Lindgren
  74. P3 11:41Shot by Malinski, saved by Lindgren
  75. P3 12:08Shot by Manson, saved by Lindgren
  76. P3 12:32Goal by Lehkonen (MacKinnon)+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas · WSH Sandin, Chisholm, McMichael, Sourdif, Leonard

  77. P3 12:45Shot by Kelly, saved by Lindgren
  78. P3 13:07Shot by Colton, saved by Lindgren
  79. P3 14:41Shot by Necas, saved by Lindgren
  80. P3 16:30Goal by MacKinnon (Necas)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · WSH Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Sandin, Protas

  81. P3 16:47Shot by Miroshnichenko, saved by Wedgewood
  82. P3 16:48Shot by Duhaime, saved by Wedgewood
  83. P3 17:57Shot by Colton, saved by Lindgren
  84. P3 19:42Lindgren: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Olofsson, Girard, Colton, Solovyov · WSH Carlson, Chisholm, Sourdif, Lapierre, Miroshnichenko

  85. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  86. P3 0:00Final5v4