Mon, Jan 19, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Washington Capitals 2, Colorado Avalanche 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.
69%
19%
COL winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:59 | 0.24 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:21 | 0.07 | 48.0% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:39 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.02 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.19 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.04 | 13.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.17 | 64.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 17:39 | 0.39 | 25.3% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:05 | 0.05 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:59 | 0.29 | 63.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.13 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 14:57 | 0.64 | 54.7% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.35 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.01 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:43 | 0.13 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:55 | 0.15 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:41 | 0.02 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 44 | 39 | 5 | .886 | 4.66 | −0.3 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 24:43 | 0.45 | 59.2% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 23:38 | 0.36 | 69.6% | +25.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 | 22:27 | 1.04 | 71.2% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:13 | 0.19 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:50 | 0.97 | 70.4% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:26 | 0.41 | 75.8% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.00 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.06 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.11 | 69.1% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.10 | 35.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.13 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:41 | 0.49 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.03 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.26 | 77.9% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:02 | 0.02 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:55 | 0.00 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:57 | 0.01 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:46 | 0.02 | 28.2% | +13.5 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.89 | +0.9 | 60:00 |