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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 20, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

San Jose Sharks 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

San Jose Sharks

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 92% of the time.

TBL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Shot by Gourde, saved by Askarov
  3. P1 1:11Shot by Graf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:45Shot by James, saved by Askarov
  5. P1 9:23Shot by Holmberg, saved by Askarov
  6. P1 10:08Shot by James, saved by Askarov
  7. P1 10:15Shot by James, saved by Askarov
  8. P1 11:08Shot by Liljegren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 11:20Shot by Ferraro, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 12:53Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 13:08Shot by Goodrow, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 13:17Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 14:28Shot by Dickinson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 14:37Goal by Toffoli (Eklund, Wennberg)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, D'Astous, Finley · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Desharnais, Eklund, Dickinson

  15. P1 15:10Goal by Hagel (Cirelli, Kucherov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier, Carlile · SJS Wennberg, Gaudette, Desharnais, Eklund, Dickinson

  16. P1 15:49Shot by Regenda, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:45Shot by James, saved by Askarov
  20. P2 1:37Shot by Cernak, saved by Askarov
  21. P2 1:48Shot by Hagel, saved by Askarov
  22. P2 1:49Goal by Cirelli (Hagel, Kucherov)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier, Carlile · SJS Gaudette, Desharnais, Regenda, Dickinson, Misa

  23. P2 3:17Goal by Guentzel (James, Goncalves)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Cernak, D'Astous, Goncalves, James · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Desharnais, Eklund, Dickinson

  24. P2 4:55Shot by Hagel, saved by Askarov
  25. P2 6:51Reaves: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bjorkstrand, Paul, Crozier, Finley, Carlile · SJS Reaves, Goodrow, Desharnais, Celebrini, Dickinson

  26. P2 9:16Shot by Goodrow, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 9:23Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 9:50Shot by Holmberg, saved by Askarov
  29. P2 10:12Shot by Liljegren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 12:57Goncalves: Interference bench (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Crozier, Goncalves, Carlile · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Desharnais, Eklund, Dickinson

  31. P2 13:21Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  32. P2 13:26Shot by Klingberg, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  33. P2 0:00Period end
  34. P3 0:00Period start
  35. P3 3:32Shot by Hagel, saved by Askarov
  36. P3 3:48Shot by Klingberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P3 4:35Shot by Desharnais, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P3 4:47Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P3 7:08Shot by Ferraro, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P3 7:21Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P3 10:10Shot by Girgensons, saved by Askarov
  42. P3 10:45Shot by Klingberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P3 11:36Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P3 12:42Shot by Reaves, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P3 14:05Shot by Paul, saved by Askarov
  46. P3 14:14Shot by Holmberg, saved by Askarov
  47. P3 17:13Shot by Celebrini, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  48. P3 17:41Goal by Hagel (Guentzel, Kucherov)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser · SJS Toffoli, Klingberg, Wennberg, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini

  49. P3 18:35Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Askarov
  50. P3 18:56Shot by Paul, saved by Askarov
  51. P3 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Final