Tue, Jan 20, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
San Jose Sharks 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 92% of the time.
88%
TBL winsSJS wins
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:39 | 0.08 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.11 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.06 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 21:11 | 0.00 | 39.1% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.04 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:14 | 0.00 | 44.7% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:00 | 0.14 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.13 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.17 | 46.8% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.08 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.01 | 12.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.00 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.02 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:13 | 0.15 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 0.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 2.83 | −0.2 | 58:32 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:59 | 0.16 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:44 | 0.00 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.00 | 90.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.00 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 18:50 | 1.08 | 78.7% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 18:00 | 0.05 | 70.1% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.01 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.02 | 90.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 81.5% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.43 | 86.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.30 | 90.8% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.13 | 86.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.23 | 86.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:15 | 0.54 | 91.0% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.47 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.14 | 59.9% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.08 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 0.98 | 0.0 | 60:00 |