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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 24, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Buffalo Sabres 5, New York Islanders 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 56% of the time.

NYI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Thompson, saved by Rittich
  3. P1 2:43Shot by Thompson, saved by Rittich
  4. P1 2:53Shot by Horvat, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 3:05Shot by Mayfield, saved by Lyon
  6. P1 4:42Shot by Kesselring, saved by Rittich
  7. P1 5:29Shot by Cizikas, saved by Lyon
  8. P1 6:30Shot by Heineman, saved by Lyon
  9. P1 7:30Shot by Lee, saved by Lyon
  10. P1 7:31Shot by Lee, saved by Lyon
  11. P1 7:31Shot by Lee, saved by Lyon
  12. P1 10:47Shot by Power, saved by Rittich
  13. P1 10:51Shot by Helenius, saved by Rittich
  14. P1 11:17Lyon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Barzal, Boqvist, George, Shabanov · BUF Krebs, Byram, Power, Benson, Helenius

  15. P1 15:46Shot by Zucker, saved by Rittich
  16. P1 15:56Shot by Horvat, saved by Lyon
  17. P1 16:00Shot by Heineman, saved by Lyon
  18. P1 16:48Shot by Ritchie, saved by Lyon
  19. P1 17:05Shot by Ritchie, saved by Lyon
  20. P1 18:50Shot by Heineman, saved by Lyon
  21. P1 19:35Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Lyon
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:31Shot by Quinn, saved by Rittich
  25. P2 0:33Goal by Zucker (Quinn, McLeod)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Drouin, Horvat, DeAngelo, Heineman · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  26. P2 0:56Shot by Helenius, saved by Rittich
  27. P2 1:01Shot by Byram, saved by Rittich
  28. P2 1:18Lee: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Duclair, Barzal, Boqvist, George · BUF Byram, Power, Ostlund, Benson, Helenius

  29. P2 2:36Shot by Horvat, saved by Lyon4v5
  30. P2 5:49Shot by Shabanov, saved by Lyon
  31. P2 9:39Shot by McLeod, saved by Rittich
  32. P2 10:07Shot by Ritchie, saved by Lyon
  33. P2 10:39Shot by Dahlin, saved by Rittich
  34. P2 11:46Schaefer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Drouin, Holmstrom, Schaefer · BUF Dahlin, Byram, Ostlund, Benson, Helenius

  35. P2 12:17Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Lyon4v5
  36. P2 12:43Shot by Horvat, saved by Lyon4v5
  37. P2 14:01Shot by Schaefer, saved by Lyon
  38. P2 14:57Samuelsson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Lee, Duclair, Horvat, DeAngelo, Barzal, Schaefer · BUF Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Krebs, Power, Kozak

  39. P2 18:05Shot by Heineman, saved by Lyon
  40. P2 19:47Goal by Thompson (Benson, Samuelsson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Duclair, Barzal · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Kozak, Benson

  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:25Goal by Zucker (McLeod)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Shabanov · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  44. P3 2:00Shot by Dahlin, saved by Rittich
  45. P3 3:20Shot by Byram, saved by Rittich
  46. P3 3:53Shot by Heineman, saved by Lyon
  47. P3 6:12Shot by Quinn, saved by Rittich
  48. P3 6:25Shot by Pageau, saved by Lyon
  49. P3 9:14Shot by Pelech, saved by Lyon
  50. P3 11:08Shot by Metsa, saved by Rittich
  51. P3 12:07Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Rittich
  52. P3 12:47Shot by MacLean, saved by Lyon
  53. P3 13:53Shot by Heineman, saved by Lyon6v5
  54. P3 14:02Goal by Dahlin (Krebs)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Drouin, Horvat, Holmstrom, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer · BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Doan

  55. P3 14:38Goal by Tuch (Samuelsson, Kesselring)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, MacLean, George, Ritchie · BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Krebs, Doan

  56. P3 15:24Kesselring: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, DeAngelo, Boqvist, Holmstrom, Shabanov · BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Ostlund, Benson

  57. P3 17:32Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Lyon
  58. P3 17:53Benson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech, MacLean, Ritchie · BUF Thompson, Kesselring, Power, Ostlund, Benson

  59. P3 17:53Mayfield: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech, MacLean, Ritchie · BUF Thompson, Kesselring, Power, Ostlund, Benson

  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final