Sat, Jan 24, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Buffalo Sabres 5, New York Islanders 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
9%
35%
NYI winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Ostlund–Benson–Helenius | Tuch–Thompson–Doan | Thompson–Ostlund–Benson | Malenstyn–Krebs–Kozak | Tuch–Krebs–Doan | Malenstyn–Kozak–Helenius | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Byram–Power | Kesselring–Power | Power–Metsa | Samuelsson–Kesselring | Dahlin–Metsa | Dahlin–Kesselring | Kesselring–Byram | Samuelsson–Metsa | Byram–Metsa | Samuelsson–Power | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pageau–Holmstrom–Shabanov | 1:340.09–0.28 | 3:210.00–0.06 | 0:540.15–0.05 | 2:040.00–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:590.01–0.00 | 3:000.10–0.30 | 1:450.00–0.06 | 1:150.00–0.05 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:180.15–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||
| Drouin–Horvat–Heineman | 2:450.11–0.44 | 2:570.17–0.25 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 2:210.15–0.01 | 3:420.25–0.53 | 1:130.03–0.11 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.01 | 1:040.00–0.05 | 1:290.15–0.00 | ||||||||
| Cizikas–MacLean–Ritchie | 1:140.00–0.10 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 3:030.12–0.25 | 1:310.00–0.14 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.10 | 1:050.00–0.11 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:490.06–0.25 | 1:200.00–0.03 | 1:160.06–0.00 | |||||
| Lee–Duclair–Barzal | 3:160.28–0.13 | 2:290.39–0.34 | 0:460.10–0.00 | 0:430.08–0.00 | 2:380.68–0.11 | 4:020.10–0.29 | 0:530.09–0.12 | |||||||||||
| Pelech–DeAngelo | 6:140.48–0.75 | 2:310.00–0.10 | 1:040.10–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 5:040.42–0.73 | 1:560.10–0.00 | 0:470.07–0.12 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Mayfield–Schaefer | 1:170.00–0.10 | 2:060.39–0.09 | 3:550.32–0.25 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 2:460.53–0.14 | 3:580.03–0.30 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Boqvist–George | 2:200.00–0.21 | 4:190.12–0.26 | 0:310.00–0.03 | 1:110.06–0.00 | 3:010.06–0.21 | 0:360.01–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:520.06–0.25 | 0:530.00–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:210.06–0.00 | ||||||
| Mayfield–Pelech | 1:250.08–0.00 | 1:340.08–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| DeAngelo–Schaefer | 1:060.06–0.05 | 0:400.15–0.00 | 0:460.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Boqvist–Schaefer | 1:080.00–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYIBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 28 | 24:44 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 2 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 26 | 24:30 | 0:57 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 25 | 23:14 | 0:56 | 1:32 | 3 | 0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 26 | 21:32 | 0:50 | 2:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 27 | 21:28 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 3 | 1 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 27 | 21:18 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 26 | 20:26 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 4 | 5 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 23 | 19:51 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 26 | 19:26 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 0 | 2 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 21 | 19:20 | 0:55 | 1:43 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 24 | 18:14 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 1 | 8 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 17:57 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 2 | 4 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 23 | 17:32 | 0:46 | 1:03 | 2 | 3 |
 Jonathan DrouinNYI | 20 | 17:18 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 5 | 0 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 17:06 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 4 | 1 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 21 | 16:58 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 2 | 3 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 20 | 16:56 | 0:51 | 2:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 20 | 16:36 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam BoqvistNYI | 23 | 15:54 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 17 | 15:19 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 4 | 1 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 19 | 15:01 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 6 | 1 |
 Maxim ShabanovNYI | 20 | 14:43 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 3 | 1 |
 Isaiah GeorgeNYI | 21 | 13:56 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Michael KesselringBUF | 16 | 13:45 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 1 | 1 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 17 | 13:44 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 3 | 5 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 17 | 13:12 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 2 | 5 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 14 | 12:45 | 0:55 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 12:44 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 20 | 12:43 | 0:38 | 0:56 | 2 | 1 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 17 | 12:35 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 17 | 12:26 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 14 | 12:15 | 0:53 | 1:18 | 4 | 1 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 14 | 11:28 | 0:49 | 1:07 | 3 | 1 |
 Konsta HeleniusBUF | 15 | 11:03 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 13 | 10:14 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 14 | 9:44 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |