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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 24, 2026·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 78% of the time.

CBJ winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:42Shot by Marchenko, saved by Johansson
  3. P1 5:23Shot by Heinen, saved by Johansson
  4. P1 5:47Goal by Sillinger (Coyle)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Gudbranson, Provorov, Olivier, Sillinger · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Moser

  5. P1 5:59Shot by Cernak, saved by Greaves
  6. P1 6:09Shot by Gourde, saved by Greaves
  7. P1 7:48Goal by Guentzel, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Heinen, Werenski, Lundeström, Voronkov · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Lundmark, Carlile, James

  8. P1 8:19Shot by D'Astous, saved by Greaves
  9. P1 8:37Goal by Marchment (Gudbranson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Provorov, Marchment, Marchenko, Fantilli · TBL Gourde, Cernak, Hagel, D'Astous, Holmberg

  10. P1 9:04Shot by Provorov, saved by Johansson
  11. P1 9:28Provorov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Jenner, Monahan, Provorov, Johnson · TBL Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous

  12. P1 9:46Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Greaves4v5
  13. P1 10:01Goal by Raddysh (Kucherov, Guentzel)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Severson, Monahan, Werenski · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Raddysh, Hagel

  14. P1 12:32Shot by Jenner, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 13:13Voronkov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Heinen, Lundeström, Christiansen, Zamula, Voronkov · TBL Paul, Hagel, Lundmark, Pelletier, Carlile

  16. P1 16:41Shot by Voronkov, saved by Johansson
  17. P1 16:57Shot by D'Astous, saved by Greaves
  18. P1 17:05Shot by Cernak, saved by Greaves
  19. P1 18:06Shot by Fantilli, saved by Johansson
  20. P1 18:29Shot by Fantilli, saved by Johansson
  21. P1 18:33Goal by Fantilli (Marchenko, Marchment)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Marchment, Marchenko, Fantilli · TBL Guentzel, Goncalves, Moser, Carlile, James

  22. P1 19:47Goal by Voronkov, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Heinen, Christiansen, Zamula, Voronkov · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:40Shot by Hagel, saved by Greaves
  26. P2 0:52Shot by Sillinger, saved by Johansson
  27. P2 0:56Shot by Werenski, saved by Johansson
  28. P2 1:08Shot by Guentzel, saved by Greaves
  29. P2 1:19Shot by Monahan, saved by Johansson
  30. P2 3:00Shot by Christiansen, saved by Johansson
  31. P2 3:29Goal by Kucherov (Hagel, Cirelli)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Heinen, Provorov, Marchment, Fantilli · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser, Carlile

  32. P2 4:58Goal by Cirelli (Kucherov, Hagel)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Marchment, Marchenko, Christiansen, Zamula, Fantilli · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser, Carlile

  33. P2 6:58Shot by Marchenko, saved by Johansson
  34. P2 6:59Gourde: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Marchment, Marchenko, Fantilli · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, D'Astous, Holmberg

  35. P2 6:59Marchment: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Marchment, Marchenko, Fantilli · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, D'Astous, Holmberg

  36. P2 7:34Shot by Werenski, saved by Johansson4v4
  37. P2 8:31Shot by Marchenko, saved by Johansson4v4
  38. P2 9:05Goal by Marchment (Werenski, Coyle)+24 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Severson, Werenski, Marchment, Lundeström · TBL Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh, Moser

  39. P2 9:49Shot by Lundeström, saved by Johansson
  40. P2 10:03Shot by Holmberg, saved by Greaves
  41. P2 10:24Shot by Coyle, saved by Johansson
  42. P2 10:35Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Greaves
  43. P2 11:05Shot by Raddysh, saved by Greaves
  44. P2 11:15Shot by Jenner, saved by Johansson
  45. P2 11:21Shot by Jenner, saved by Johansson
  46. P2 13:21Shot by Severson, saved by Johansson
  47. P2 13:35Shot by Werenski, saved by Johansson
  48. P2 13:37Shot by Jenner, saved by Johansson
  49. P2 14:43Shot by Paul, saved by Greaves
  50. P2 16:00Carlile: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Marchment, Marchenko, Christiansen, Fantilli · TBL Girgensons, Holmberg, Pelletier, Moser, Carlile

  51. P2 16:15Shot by Hagel, saved by Greaves5v4
  52. P2 18:47D'Astous: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Lundeström, Marchenko, Zamula, Sillinger · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, D'Astous, James

  53. P2 18:57Goal by Coyle (Fantilli, Werenski)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Werenski, Marchenko, Johnson, Fantilli · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Moser, Carlile

  54. P2 19:51Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Greaves
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:46Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Greaves
  58. P3 1:52Shot by Carlile, saved by Greaves
  59. P3 3:11Shot by Gourde, saved by Greaves
  60. P3 6:21Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Johansson
  61. P3 6:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Greaves
  62. P3 6:49Shot by Raddysh, saved by Greaves
  63. P3 7:17Shot by Kucherov, saved by Greaves
  64. P3 8:03Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Greaves
  65. P3 14:19Shot by Lundmark, saved by Greaves
  66. P3 14:55Goal by Monahan, unassisted5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Jenner, Monahan, Provorov, Johnson · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  67. P3 15:15Shot by Voronkov, saved by Johansson
  68. P3 16:03Shot by Girgensons, saved by Greaves
  69. P3 17:49Shot by Moser, saved by Greaves5v6
  70. P3 18:54Goal by Guentzel (Kucherov, Cirelli)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Olivier, Lundeström, Voronkov · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  71. P3 18:58Shot by Guentzel, saved by Greaves
  72. P3 19:35Goal by Marchment (Fantilli, Marchenko)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Provorov, Marchment, Marchenko, Fantilli · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final